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We've analysed seven years of deals to forecast 2018's offers. Nothing's guaranteed - the aim is to help you pick when to pounce and bag planned Christmas shopping for less. Remember, only ever buy what you need and can afford. Last year, we got it 93% right, so peek into our crystal ball...

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are we doing this?

To save you money, of course! Pre-Christmas, when retailers launch discount codes, they have one main aim. They want to avoid giving discounts to people who would buy in their stores anyway and instead target price-conscious consumers who are looking around on impulse for somewhere to shop.

That’s why they launch codes, sales or discounts only for a very short amount of time in the run-up to Christmas, as opposed to the lengthy January sales.

What we want to do is help people who know where they want to shop to be ready to pounce at the perfect moment to take advantage of those offers. If you like, perverting the marketing plans of Britain’s big retailers.

To get the best out of our Christmas Deals Predictor it’s best to know what you want to buy and where it’s sold. Then use the calendar to plan your spending and hope you’ll be able to get what you want at a much reduced price.

How well did we do last year?

Last year we got it 93% right. Last year a whopping 83% of deals came out exactly as we predicted. Add in those we were only marginally out on and we had an astonishing 93% success rate.

Will this be a self-defeating prophecy?

This is something we worried about when we launched this for the first time in 2013. Stores primarily launch discounts to tempt in customers who wouldn’t normally buy. The fact we’re doing this is somewhat market disruptive as our aim is to show those who’ve planned to buy how to take advantage. Our fear was that the retailers would move or cancel their promotions as a result. Thankfully, it hasn't had that impact for the past four years, and we hope it won’t this year either.

November 2018

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 3

12th - 18th
It's gone

Dyson daily discounts

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Dyson daily discounts

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. This year, Dyson offered daily discounts a week before Black Friday until Tue 27 Nov. While some of its prices could be matched or beaten elsewhere, you could get a longer warranty if you bought direct from Dyson.

It's gone

Habitat 25% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Habitat 25% off

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Like it had done for the past two years, Habitat offered 25% off just about everything from Thu 15 Nov until Sun 18 Nov, when you entered the code HAB25 at the checkout. The discount was also applied automatically at the till in Habitat's stores, as well as Mini Habitat stores in Sainsbury's.

It's gone

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to last year, La Redoute offered 40% off everything for Black Friday. It started early on Thu 15 Nov and ended on Tue 27 Nov 2018. The discount included many popular brands, eg, Levi's, Converse and Superdry.

It's gone

Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As we expected, Sainsbury's ran its double-up event during the third week of November. You could exchange points for double-up vouchers in advance and spend them in store between Mon 12 Nov and Sun 18 Nov. Categories included toys, homeware, electricals, Tu clothing, entertainment and Taste The Difference wine (not groceries).

It's gone

ShopDisney FLASH 24% off toys code

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: N/A
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

ShopDisney FLASH 24% off toys code

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As it'd done in previous years, you were able to get 24% off toys, stationery and fancy dress online at ShopDisney on Tue 13 Nov. Once again, you could also get the deal via VoucherCodes on Wed 14 Nov. It included most toys and sale items, eg, a large Simba soft toy for £19 (£25 before code, reduced from £50).

Prediction

£9-£10 champagne deals in stores

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

£9-£10 champagne deals in stores

deal analysis

HASN'T HAPPENED YET: The big supermarkets have been consistent in offering discounted champagne from the third weekend of November, so expect more of the same. Last year, we saw Lidl's Comte de Senneval champagne for £10, and from 23 Nov 2017, for £9. Previously, Tesco had a £9 bottle on offer too, so watch this space. Corking!

Prediction

'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Didn't Happen
likelihood
did it happen? No, this deal didn't happen!
prediction

'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

deal analysis

IT DIDN'T HAPPEN. From 2014-2016 we saw Megabus run a ‘free’ ticket sale (with a 50p booking fee) in the third week of November, but last year it put out a road block and the deal didn't happen. So while we're not confident of it happening this year, there's always a chance it could.

Week 4

19th - 25th
It's on

Ikea buy £25 real Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Ikea buy £25 real Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

deal analysis

From Thu 22 Nov until Mon 24 Dec, buy a £25 real Christmas tree from Ikea and you'll be given a £20 voucher to spend at any participating store between 14 Jan and 3 Mar 2019. This deal has proven popular the past five years so go quick.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 2
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. You could get a Sanctuary Spa 'Christmas Day Indulgence' set for £22.50 (norm £45) from Boots, while stocks lasted or until Thu 29 Nov. The contents were £50ish individually, including a £10 eau de toilette. In 2017 it offered a similarly priced £23 set (norm £45) and in 2016 a £23 set (norm £45).

It's gone

Debenhams up to 30% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Debenhams up to 30% off

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As in previous years, Debenhams had up to 30% off most departments in the run up to Black Friday until Sun 2 Dec. It also had different daily deals running from 6am until 11.59pm each day with up to 50% off selected items.

It's gone

eBay daily discounts

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

eBay daily discounts

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As it has done the last few years, eBay released daily deals between 8am and 8pm every day up from the week of Black Friday until Tue 27 Nov, including from eBay stores for big retailers such as Currys and Argos. Deals we've spotted include a £20 Google Chromecast and a £40 Sega Megadrive with 81 games.

It's gone

Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As we predicted, Selfridges offered up to 20% off via an online code or in-store voucher over the Black Friday weekend until 11.59pm on Sun 25 Nov. The full 20% off was valid on selected lines including fashion, homeware and accessories, but beauty, fragrances and tech were capped at 10% off.

It's gone

Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

deal analysis

As predicted, Tesco offered 25% off when you bought six or more bottles of wine, sparkling wine (including prosecco) or champagne until Mon 3 Dec. The deal was available online and in larger stores, excluding Scotland and Express stores.

The Black Friday Effect. In recent years, we've seen deals previously spread over Nov & Dec pulled into retailers' Black Friday offerings. This can skew our predictions slightly and we predict the trend will continue.

Black Friday Deals
23rd - 26th
It's gone

Amazon daily & 'lightning' deals

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
  • 2017: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Amazon daily & 'lightning' deals

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Amazon began pumping out Black Friday deals, with daily deals, and new offers appearing at regular intervals, between Fri 16 Nov and Sun 25 Nov. Its Cyber Monday deals, like last year, were largely an extension of its Black Friday offerings.

It's gone

AO.com discounts on hundreds of items

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

AO.com discounts on hundreds of items

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As in previous years, AO.com discounted a number of products in the run up to Black Friday, but this year through to Mon 3 Dec. It had around 800ish deals online, but a lot of items could be found for the same price elsewhere as AO promised to price match other retailers.

It's gone

Apple 'free' gift card with purchases

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: N/A
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Apple 'free' gift card with purchases

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to previous years, Apple ran a “shopping event” where it gave gift cards of up to £160 off with selected purchases from Black Friday until Cyber Monday. In past years it used to offer discounts of 6-10% off selected products, but it seems to have replaced this with the ‘free’ gift cards.

It's gone

Asos 20% off almost everything

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Asos 20% off almost everything

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. For the fourth year in a row, Asos offered 20% off almost everything as part of its Black Friday and Cyber Monday promotion. The deal ran from 22 Nov until 8am on 27 Nov 2018, and it worked on all items, both full-price and those in the 'up to 70% off' outlet.

It's gone

Benefit 20% off via online code

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Benefit 20% off via online code

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to last year, you could get 20% off make-up and skincare brand Benefit until Cyber Monday (26 Nov 2018), as part of its Black Friday promotion.

It's gone

French Connection up to 50% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

French Connection up to 50% off

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Fashion retailer French Connection offered up to 50% off selected items online and in stores for Black Friday. On Sun 25 Nov, the offer changed to 30% off everything until Cyber Monday.

It's gone

Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Like last year, Game offered a number of discounts on consoles and software over Black Friday weekend. However, many other retailers including Amazon, Argos, Microsoft, Sony, Currys, and Smyths also offered similarly priced console bundles, and Game wasn't always cheapest, showing it's always worth doing your own research before buying.

It's gone

Gap 40%-50% off online & in stores

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Gap 40%-50% off online & in stores

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to last year, Gap offered 40% off all full-price items online and 'up to' 50% off all full-price items in stores as part of its Black Friday promotions. For Cyber Monday, Gap offered a bigger discount of 50% off full-price items and 25% extra off sale, until 11.59pm on Tue 27 Nov.

It's gone

H&M 20% off online

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

H&M 20% off online

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. For the fourth year running, H&M offered 20% off online for Black Friday weekend, from 22 Nov until 25 Nov 2018. The discount was applied automatically at the checkout to full-price and already-discounted items in the 'sale' section.

It's gone

55% off Illy coffee machines

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

55% off Illy coffee machines

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. This year, Italian coffee company Illy brewed up a Black Friday offer on its posh coffee machines for 50% off, until 29 Nov 2018. However, in both 2017 and 2016 the offer was slightly stronger at 55% off. In 2015, it was 50% off.

It's gone

John Lewis deals & price-matching

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

John Lewis deals & price-matching

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Always one of the strong performers on Black Friday, like last year John Lewis discounted a number of high-end products and also proactively matched the prices of its high-street competitors. We spotted a £219 Apple Watch (norm £279) and £84 Ted Baker shoes (norm £120), while it also offered decent discounts on other electricals.

It's gone

Kurt Geiger 20% off code

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Kurt Geiger 20% off code

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. This year, Kurt Geiger offered a 20% off selected items 'Rainbow Event' online and in stores, for Black Friday. There were also daily offers with up to 50% off.

It's gone

Laura Ashley at least 40% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Laura Ashley at least 40% off

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to last year, Laura Ashley has at 40% off everything online and in stores, until Mon 26 Nov.

It's gone

Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Like last year, high street retailer Matalan had an up 50% off sale for Black Friday online and in stores, including selected womenswear, menswear, kidswear and homeware. While it's billed as 'up to' 50% off, we spotted some items with a higher discount than 50% off.

It's gone

£5 off 16-25 and Family & Friends Railcards

when it's happened
  • 2014: Didn't Happen
  • 2015: Didn't Happen
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

£5 off 16-25 and Family & Friends Railcards

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Railcard offered a 'Black Friday' discount of 20% off on the Family & Friends Railcard, until 11.59pm on Tue 27 Nov. This was slightly different to last year where it offered £5 off both the 16-25 Railcard and the Family & Friends Railcard. In 2016, the discount was twice as good – £10 off each card.

It's gone

Ralph Lauren 20%-30% off most items online

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Ralph Lauren 20%-30% off most items online

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Similar to last year, posh clothing brand Ralph Lauren offered 20% off selected items, or 30% off selected items when you spent £350, until Cyber Monday.

It's gone

ShopDisney 20% off online

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

ShopDisney 20% off online

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. This year for Black Friday, the Disney Store (now ShopDisney) is offered up to 50% off hundreds of items. However when we've checked, the majority of items were 20% off which is similar to last years offer. Discounted items included a Buzz Lightyear talking action figure for £25 (was £30) and a Winnie the Pooh teaset for £37.50 (was £75).

It's gone

Topshop up to 50% off in stores and online

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Topshop up to 50% off in stores and online

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. This year, Topshop had up to 50% off everything online and in stores for its Black Friday sale, until 11.59pm on Mon 26 Nov 2018. Plus, online shoppers also got free delivery. The offer was slightly stronger than last year as everything is included, rather than just selected items.

It's gone

Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Hip fashion retailer Urban Outfitters offered up to 50% off online and in stores for Black Friday weekend. As in previous year's sales, it didn't include everything, but there was a broad range of discounts across men's and women's fashion, homeware and gifts, with many items at around 50% off.

Prediction

M&S 50% off selected beauty sets

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
  • 2017: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? No, this deal didn't happen!
prediction

M&S 50% off selected beauty sets

deal analysis

IT DIDN'T HAPPEN. M&S has some limited offers available over Black Friday weekend, but we've found these aren't as strong as in previous years. In 2017, M&S told us that it wouldn't be taking part in Black Friday, but ran offers of up to 50% off beauty sets, skincare and gift sets over the weekend.

Week 5

26th - 2nd
It's on

Beauty advent calendars reduced

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Nov, Week 5
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Beauty advent calendars reduced

deal analysis

Beauty advent calendars can be great value for money as they're often priced less than their individual contents. The first discount we've seen in 2018 is up to 50% off beauty advent calendars at Superdrug. They were discounted earlier than expected this year, so many of them are now sold out or low in stock.

It's gone

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Nov, Week 5
  • 2018: Didn't Happen
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. From Sat 1 Dec to Sun 16 Dec, American Express cardholders (some exclusions), could get £5 cashback when spending £10+ at selected local businesses including restaurants, clothes shops, hotels, hairdressers and galleries after registering their Amex with the Shop Small website.

It's gone

Argos £50/£100 spends get £5/£10 voucher

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Nov, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Argos £50/£100 spends get £5/£10 voucher

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Almost exactly the same as last year, on Wed 28 Nov (in 2017 it was Wed 29 Nov), Argos kicked off its offer where if you spent £50, you got a voucher for £5 off your next purchase and if you spent at least £100, you got a £10 voucher. If you were bulk buying, you could split your purchase into several £50/£100 spends to receive more vouchers.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As predicted, Boots offered a Ted Baker 'Opulent Suite' toiletries gift set for £25 (norm £50) as part of its 'Star Gift' promotion. We totted up the value of items based on the cost of full-sized and similar items and the rough total came to £49ish.

It's gone

£10 Baileys 1L in supermarkets

when it's happened
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Nov, Week 5
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

£10 Baileys 1L in supermarkets

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Exactly as we predicted, you could get a 1-litre bottle of Baileys Original for £10 (normally £20) at Morrisons and Asda from Thu 29 Nov to Sun 2 Dec. This is the cheapest we ever see large bottles, so was good for stocking up. Please be Drinkaware.

It's gone

Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Nov, Week 5
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Santa and his elves at the RNIB send Braille, audio or large print replies for free (you'll need to post it with a stamp, but that's the only cost involved). This year, the closing date for letters was Sat 1 Dec, the same date as last year, or Fri 14 Dec for email replies.

It's gone

Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. For the last five years, Sainsbury's has offered 25% off its Tu clothing range in the first week of December. However this year it started it early and ran the offer from Tue 20 Nov to Mon 26 Nov.

December 2018

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 1

3rd - 9th
It's on

£10 West End theatre tickets

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

£10 West End theatre tickets

deal analysis

Official London Theatre's confirmed what we expected, that from 10am on Tue 4 Dec, theatre lovers can get £10-£40 tickets for top London shows for performances between Tue 1 Jan and Fri 15 Feb 2019. John Lewis Partnership card holders can take advantage of the offer from 10am on Tue 20 Nov, or from 10am on Fri 23 Nov for Mastercard holders.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Christmas wouldn’t be Christmas without Boots offering a discount on one of its hugely popular Soap & Glory gift sets. You could get a 'Bubble Act' body care set for £30 (norm £60) from Fri 8 Dec. We worked out the products would cost £80 if bought individually.

It's gone

Free Santa letter deadline

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Free Santa letter deadline

deal analysis

Some companies charge up to £10 to reply to kids' letters to Father Christmas. Yet if you apply to Royal Mail, you could get a response from Santa for the price of a stamp (67p first class, 58p second class). The deadline this year was Fri 7 Dec.

It's gone

Thorntons 15%-20% off online code

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Thorntons 15%-20% off online code

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Since 2017, Thorntons has been cutting back on its promotional activity and it’s done the same this year. Instead of its usual 15% off code (20% in previous years), it’s offering 3for2 on Christmas gifts, plus 10% off online orders via VoucherCodes.

Week 2

10th - 16th
It's on

John Lewis up to 50% off Xmas decorations

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

John Lewis up to 50% off Xmas decorations

deal analysis

This year, John Lewis is offering 30% off Christmas decorations. In previous years though, it's offered up to 50% off instead. Last year we didn't see it boost, but in 2016 some festive items were reduced by up to 80%. It’s a good time to stock up for next Christmas (or even this one, if you leave things to the very last minute). You’d be crackers not to.

It's on

Kurt Geiger up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Kurt Geiger up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

As it's done in the past four years, Kurt Geiger's up to 50% off sale has started in mid-December, giving you time to get last minute gifts in the sale (order by 18 Dec). In 2016, we didn't see Kurt Geiger increase its discount, but last year it surprised us by boosting its sale to up to 60% off post-Christmas.

It's on

Miss Selfridge up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Miss Selfridge up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

As it's done in previous years, Miss Selfridge has started its January sale early and kicked it off in mid-December. In 2017, we saw the sale boost to 70% off everything on Christmas Day and Boxing Day.

It's gone

Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. The Body Shop is renowned for running promotions throughout the year, so it’s rare you’ll ever need to pay full-price. Similar to previous years, it offered a code for 40% off most items. However unlike last year, there was no 'free' gift if you spent over £15.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. As we've seen in the past five years, Boots offered a half-price No7 gift set. 'The No7 Collection' set was available for £39 until Christmas Eve. The gift set, which includes day cream, night cream and mascara is normally £80, but if bought individually the 10 products would have cost £150ish, so getting it all for £39 was a substantial saving.

It's gone

Topman £10 off £50

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
  • 2017: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Topman £10 off £50

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. Topman has been inconsistent with its early December discount, so this one's difficult to predict. In 2017 it surprised us by offering £10 off £50, £15 off £75 and £25 off £100 in the second week of December. This year it started earlier and offered at least 20% off everything for 48 hours from Thu 6 Dec to Fri 7 Dec.

Week 3

17th - 23rd
It's on

19p cheap Christmas veg

when it's happened
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

19p cheap Christmas veg

deal analysis

As they've done for the past three years, the supermarkets have started battling in a price-war over Christmas vegetables. Asda has dropped the price of veg like Brussels sprouts (500g), parsnips (600g), and carrots (1kg) to 20p... but now both Aldi and Lidl have bested Asda, offering those vegetables for 19p each.

It's on

Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

As predicted, Asos started its up to 50% off 'January sale' on Fri 21 Dec. Last year, we saw it boost to up to 70% off from Fri 29 Dec. In past sales we haven't seen it boost further than 70%, so if it offers the same this year then it could be a good time to buy if there's something you want, but go quick as stock's usually limited.

It's on

Body Shop 'up to 50% off' sale

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Body Shop 'up to 50% off' sale

deal analysis

This year Body Shop kicked off its 'up to 50% off' sale slightly later online and in stores on Mon 24 Dec. Last year it started on Fri 21 Dec and in 2016 it started on Thu 22 Dec. This sale doesn't usually boost any further than up to 50% off.

It's on

H&M up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

H&M up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

At the same time as it's done for the last four years, H&M has kicked off its 'up to 60% off' sale on Fri 21 Dec. In previous years, we've seen it boost to 'up to 70% off' in January.

It's on

Topman up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Topman up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Topman launched it's sale early this year on Wed 19 Dec both online and in stores, and is offering higher discount than usual of 'up to 60% off'. Last year on Thu 4 Jan, the sale boosted to 'up to 70% off'.

It's on

M&S up to 50% off Xmas wrapping & gifts

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

M&S up to 50% off Xmas wrapping & gifts

deal analysis

As it's done in the last few years, you can get up to 50% off wrapping, cards, trees and gifts at M&S from the third week of December. If you can wait until a week before the big day, or want to stock up for next year, you could make a considerable saving.

Week 4

24th - 30th
It's on

Topshop up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Topshop up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

This year Topshop has kicked off it's 'up to 50% off January sale' early. It started online and in stores on Wed 19 Dec. Last year it boosted to 'up to 70% off' in the first half of January.

It's on

Argos up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Argos up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Like last year, Argos started its sale online on Christmas Day and in stores on Boxing Day. It was billed as 'up to 50% off'. However, we did spot a few items reduced by more than 50%. Strong deals included a Slumberdown double duvet and a George Foreman grill.

It's on

Boots up to 70% off 'Boxing Day sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots up to 70% off 'Boxing Day sale'

deal analysis

As it's done in previous years, Boots kicked off its 'up to 50% off' sale online on Christmas Eve and in stores on Boxing Day. In 2017, on Fri 20 Jan, Boots increased it's sale to 'up to 70% off' for Christmas gifts and fragrances, in stores only.

It's on

Debenhams 'Blue Cross' sale

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Debenhams 'Blue Cross' sale

deal analysis

Slightly earlier than in previous years, Debenhams started it's up to 50% off 'Blue Cross' sale online on Sun 23 Dec and in stores on Boxing Day. In 2017, the sale boosted to 70% online on Wed 3 Jan and in stores on Thu 4 Jan.

It's on

John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Just like last year, the John Lewis 'January sale' started on Christmas Eve, online and in stores. It didn't actually bill its clearance as 'up to 50% off', but it matched competitors' reductions and we spotted up to 50% off selected brands. We didn't see the discount increase during the sale, so if you want something, it might be worth buying as soon as it starts.

It's on

Matalan up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 5
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Matalan up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Matalan kicked off it's 'up to 50% off' Boxing Day sale on Christmas Eve online and in Boxing Day in stores. In 2016, it only had a sale in stores on Boxing Day, but in 2017 it was both online and in stores. We've not seen the sale boost any further before.

It's on

M&S up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

M&S up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Similar to last year, M&S started its up to 50% off 'January sale' online on Christmas Eve, and in stores on Boxing Day. In 2017 it then boosted to 'up to 60% off' on Thu 4 Jan, and then boosted further to 'up to 70% off' on Mon 15 Jan.

It's on

Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 5
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Let's be honest, £900 handbags certainly aren't MoneySaving. However... if you're going to buy one anyway and can afford it, you might as well get it while there's a decent discount to be had. Mulberry's up to 50% off 'January sale' started on Boxing Day, both online and in stores.

It's on

Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Next's 'at least 50% off' sale started online on Christmas Eve, and in stores on Boxing Day – just like in previous years. We didn't see the discount increase during last year's sale, so if you want something in particular, it might be worth buying before stock sells out.

It's on

Travelodge 30% off

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Travelodge 30% off

deal analysis

As it's done in previous years, Travelodge is offering a deal at the end of December for selected dates the following year. This year, it's offering 30% off selected stays between Mon 1 Jan and Sun 31 Mar – slightly stronger than 2016's 26% off.

It's gone

Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 5
  • 2017: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

IT'S GONE. On Boxing Day only, Amazon offered 24-hour 'Deals of the Day' and one off deals every five minutes. From what we saw, ‘up to 50% off’ was a fair summary of its Boxing Day sale, and some of the decent deals we spotted included big brands such as Phillips, Oral B and Bosch.

January 2019

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 1

31st - 6th
Prediction

Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

when it's happened
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
  • 2017: Jan, Week 1
  • 2018: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

deal analysis

Italian restaurant chain Carluccio's has offered a rare 2for1 voucher in the first week of January for the last six years, and it served up a repeat in 2018. If you ordered two main courses, you got the cheapest for £1 until Thu 8 Feb. It rarely offers discounts, so this deal is worth looking out for.

Prediction

Eurostar £58 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

when it's happened
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
  • 2017: Jan, Week 1
  • 2018: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Eurostar £58 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

deal analysis

We’ve seen a Eurostar sale in the first week of January for the last five years, and saw the same again in 2018. This year, Eurostar offered £58 return train tickets to Paris, Lille, Calais or Brussels from London St Pancras International, Ebbsfleet International or Ashford International.

Prediction

£50 off Merlin annual pass

when it's happened
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
  • 2017: Jan, Week 1
  • 2018: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

£50 off Merlin annual pass

deal analysis

In January 2018, you could get the Merlin annual pass at the discounted price of £129 per person until Mon 12 Feb. After that, it rose to the normal 2018 price of £179 per person. The pass gets you unlimited visits to 32 attractions including Alton Towers, Thorpe Park and Legoland.

Prediction

The Sun '£9.50' Holidays via tokens

when it's happened
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
  • 2017: Jan, Week 1
  • 2018: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

The Sun '£9.50' Holidays via tokens

deal analysis

Historically, we've seen The Sun offer its '£9.50' holidays at the beginning of January – and 2018 was no exception. In reality, they're never actually £9.50, but if you dodged the costly extras you could get a trip for four people for £44.

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