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We've analysed seven years of deals and studied this year's trends to forecast 2017's Christmas offers. Nothing's guaranteed - the aim is to help you pick when to pounce and bag your planned Christmas shopping for less (for more get the free weekly email). Remember, don't get sucked in by the hype, only buy what you can afford.

We've organised the deals alphabetically in weeks (Mon-Fri). Of course, dates fall on different days of the week each year, which can make some predictions tricky. However, last year we got it 93% right, so we reckon it's well worth a peak into our crystal ball.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are we doing this?

To save you money, of course! Pre-Christmas, when retailers launch discount codes, they have one main aim. They want to avoid giving discounts to people who would buy in their stores anyway and instead target price-conscious consumers who are looking around on impulse for somewhere to shop.

That’s why they launch codes, sales or discounts only for a very short amount of time in the run-up to Christmas, as opposed to the lengthy January sales.

What we want to do is help people who know where they want to shop to be ready to pounce at the perfect moment to take advantage of those offers. If you like, perverting the marketing plans of Britain’s big retailers.

To get the best out of our Christmas Deals Predictor it’s best to know what you want to buy and where it’s sold. Then use the calendar to plan your spending and hope you’ll be able to get what you want at a much reduced price.

How well did we do last year?

Last year we got it 93% right. Last year a whopping 83% of deals came out exactly as we predicted. Add in those we were only marginally out on and we had an astonishing 93% success rate.

Will this be a self-defeating prophecy?

This is something we worried about when we launched this for the first time in 2013. Stores primarily launch discounts to tempt in customers who wouldn’t normally buy. The fact we’re doing this is somewhat market disruptive as our aim is to show those who’ve planned to buy how to take advantage. Our fear was that the retailers would move or cancel their promotions as a result. Thankfully, it hasn't had that impact for the past four years, and we hope it won’t this year either.

November 2017

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 3

13th - 19th
Prediction

£59 Amazon Prime (norm £79)

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? No, this deal didn't happen!
prediction

£59 Amazon Prime (norm £79)

deal analysis

For the last two years Amazon has offered a year's Prime subscription for £59 during the third week of November. Surprisingly, we haven't seen Amazon's £59 Prime offer this November, but we'll keep our eyes pealed and let you know here if it happens.

It's on

£9-£10 champagne deals in stores

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

£9-£10 champagne deals in stores

deal analysis

The big supermarkets have been consistent in offering discounted champagne from the third weekend of November, so expect more of the same. This year, we've seen Lidl's Comte de Senneval champagne for £10, and from Thu 23 Nov, you can get it for £9. Last year, Tesco had a £9 bottle on offer too, so watch this space. Corking!

It's gone

Disney Store FLASH 24% off toys code

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: N/A
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Disney Store FLASH 24% off toys code

deal analysis

As we predicted, you could get 24% off toys, stationery and costumes online at the Disney Store until Wed 15 Nov. Like last year, it included most toys and sale items, eg, a Beauty and the Beast soft toy for £19 (£25 before code, reduced from £49.99) and a Spider-Man kids' costume for £18.84 (£24.79 before code, reduced from £30.99).

It's gone

Habitat 25% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 4
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Habitat 25% off

deal analysis

As we predicted, Habitat had 25% off just about everything in the third week of November. Usually Habitat discounts like this are flash offers, lasting up to 48 hours - but this was valid for five days, from Wed 15 Nov to Sun 29 Nov.

Prediction

'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

deal analysis

Megabus often runs a ‘free’ ticket sale (there’s a 50p booking fee). For the last three years we've seen this sale in the third week of November, so we have a feeling all roads lead to it doing the same this year.

It's on

Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 3
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

deal analysis

As we expected, Nectar has already confirmed its double-up event for the third week of November. You can exchange points for double-up vouchers in advance, from Wed 8 Nov, and you can spend them between Wed 15 Nov and Tue 21 Nov. The selected categories include toys, homeware, electricals, Tu clothing and entertainment (not groceries).

Week 4

20th - 26th
It's on

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 2
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

deal analysis

From Thu 23 Nov, if you go online to Boots or visit one of its stores by 11.59pm on Wed 29 Nov, you could get a Sanctuary Spa 'The Best of Everything' set for £22.50 (norm £45). We reckon this is a decent deal for £22.50, as we worked out the contents would be £50ish individually, including a £10 eau de toilette.

It's on

Ikea buy £25 real Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Ikea buy £25 real Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

deal analysis

As we expected, Ikea is running its tree-mendous offer this year. From Thu 23 Nov, if you buy a £25 real Christmas tree from your nearest Ikea, you'll be given a £20 voucher to spend at any participating store between Mon 5 Feb and Mon 2 Apr next year. Officially, it's on until Sat 23 Dec, but if previous years are anything to go by, this'll be popular - so go quick.

It's gone

Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

deal analysis

Just as we predicted, Selfridges offered up to 20% off via an online code or in-store voucher over the Black Friday weekend until 11.59pm on Sun 26 Nov. Like last year, the full 20% off was valid on selected lines including fashion, homeware and accessories, but beauty and fragrance were capped at 10% off.

It's on

Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

deal analysis

As predicted, Tesco is offering 25% off when you buy six or more bottles of wine, sparkling wine (including prosecco) and champagne until Mon 4 Dec. You can get the deal online and in larger stores (not Express stores). Perfect for stocking up for Christmas!

The Black Friday Effect. In recent years, we've seen deals previously spread over Nov & Dec pulled into retailers' Black Friday offerings. This can skew our predictions slightly and we predict the trend will continue.

Week 5

Black Friday Deals
24th - 27th
It's on

Amazon daily & lightning deals

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 4
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Amazon daily & lightning deals

deal analysis

As expected, giant e-retailer Amazon pumped out Black Friday deals, with new offers appearing at regular intervals, between Fri 17 Nov and Sun 26 Nov. Amazon then launched its Cyber Monday deals and from what we've seen so far, its top deals are largely an extension of its Black Friday offerings, eg, £35 Echo Dot and £80 Kindle Paperwhite.

It's gone

Asos 20% off almost everything

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Asos 20% off almost everything

deal analysis

For the fourth year in a row, Asos offered 20% off almost everything as part of its Black Friday and Cyber Monday promotion. The offer ran from Thu 23 Nov until 8am on Tue 28 Nov, and it worked on all items, both full-price and those in the 'up to 70% off' outlet.

It's gone

Benefit 20% off via online code

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Benefit 20% off via online code

deal analysis

As we predicted, you could get 20% off make-up and skincare brand Benefit until Cyber Monday (Mon 27 Nov), as part of its Black Friday promotion - just like last year. The code excluded custom make-up kits.

It's gone

Disney Store 20% off online

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Disney Store 20% off online

deal analysis

Just as we predicted, the Disney Store offered 20% off many items for Black Friday weekend. The offer was online only and applied automatically (no code required). Discounted items included a Star Wars The Last Jedi figure set for £19.99 (was £24.99) and a Jasmine classic doll with Abu figure for £10.40 (was £13).

It's gone

French Connection up to 50% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 3
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

French Connection up to 50% off

deal analysis

As we expected, fashion retailer French Connection offered up to 50% off selected items online and in stores for Black Friday. Its promotion ran from 9am on Thu 23 Nov until 11.59pm on Sat 25 Nov, and discounts were applied automatically at the checkout.

It's gone

Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

deal analysis

As we predicted, Game offered a number of discounts on consoles and software over Black Friday weekend. However, many other retailers including Amazon, Argos, Microsoft, Sony, Currys, Tesco Direct and Smyths also offered similarly priced console bundles, and Game wasn't always cheapest, showing it's always worth doing your own research before buying.

It's gone

Gap 40%-50% off online & in stores

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 4
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Gap 40%-50% off online & in stores

deal analysis

As we predicted, Gap offered 40% off all full-price items online and 'up to' 50% off all full-price items in stores as part of its Black Friday promotions. These offers ended at 11.59pm on Sat 25 Nov, then Gap launched a bigger discount - 50% off full-price items online for Cyber Monday.

It's gone

House of Fraser up to 40% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

House of Fraser up to 40% off

deal analysis

House of Fraser offered up to 40% off a large range of items online and in store for Black Friday. It included up to 40% off womenswear, menswear, homeware and handbags, up to 30% off kidswear and toys, up to 25% off Christmas decorations, up to 20% off shoes and up to 10% off electricals. You could also get 15% off beauty for one day only on Fri 24 Nov.

It's gone

H&M 20% off online

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

H&M 20% off online

deal analysis

For the third year running, H&M offered 20% off online for Black Friday weekend, from Fri 24 Nov until Sun 26 Nov. The discount was applied automatically at the checkout to full-price and already-discounted items in the 'sale' section.

It's gone

John Lewis deals & price-matching

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

John Lewis deals & price-matching

deal analysis

Always one of the strong performers on Black Friday, this year John Lewis discounted a number of high-end products and also proactively matched the prices of its high-street competitors. We spotted a £34 Echo Dot, £79 Kindle Paperwhite and £279 KitchenAid mixer among the popular deals, while it also offered decent discounts on other electricals.

Prediction

Johnsons 50% off dry cleaning

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? No, this deal didn't happen!
prediction

Johnsons 50% off dry cleaning

deal analysis

For the last three years we've seen Johnsons take part in Black Friday, offering 50% off Black clothing and 2for1s. However, this year it surprised us by taking a step back from the promotional weekend and not offering any Black Friday deals.

It's gone

Kurt Geiger 20% off code

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 4
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Kurt Geiger 20% off code

deal analysis

Just as we predicted, this year Kurt Geiger offered a code for 20% off everything over Black Friday weekend. The discount included full-price and items already reduced by up to 50% in the sale.

Confirmed

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

deal analysis

This year, La Redoute offered 40% off everything for Black Friday - just as we predicted. It started early and lasted until 11.59pm on Tue 28 Nov. The discount included many popular brands, eg, Levi's, Converse and Superdry.

It's gone

Laura Ashley at least 40% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Laura Ashley at least 40% off

deal analysis

For Black Friday this year, Laura Ashley had at least 40% off almost everything online and in stores. Virtually everything was included in this offer, apart from these exclusions - gift cards, design service fees, delivery charges and its furniture protection plan. Most items had 40% off, but you could get 50% off wallpaper and fabric.

It's gone

Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

deal analysis

As we expected, high street retailer Matalan had an up 50% off sale for Black Friday online and in stores, including selected womenswear, menswear, kidswear and homeware. While it was billed as 'up to' 50% off, we spotted some items with a higher discount than 50% off.

It's on

M&S 50% off selected beauty sets

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

M&S 50% off selected beauty sets

deal analysis

This year, M&S told us it wouldn't be taking part in Black Friday and it didn't promote any offers as Black Friday deals. However, it has at least 50% off a selected range of its exclusive gift sets online, including skincare products and men’s fragrances.

It's gone

Ralph Lauren 30% off most items online

when it's happened
  • 2013: Nov, Week 4
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Ralph Lauren 30% off most items online

deal analysis

Posh clothes brand Ralph Lauren has really cut back on promotions this year, but it still took part this Black Friday this year - just as we predicted. It offered 20% off selected items or 30% off selected items when you spend £350, until Cyber Monday.

It's gone

Tesco Direct deals

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Nov, Week 4
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Tesco Direct deals

deal analysis

As we predicted, Tesco Direct launched its week-long Black Friday sale early this year, on Mon 20 Nov. It was matching prices for top tech, eg, the Kindle Fire and Echo Dot. However, the Black Friday offers it promoted on its website were for some unusual items, eg, an ironing board and a bin.

It's gone

Topshop up to 50% off in stores and online

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Topshop up to 50% off in stores and online

deal analysis

As we expected, Topshop had up to 50% off selected items online and in stores for its Black Friday sale, until 11.59pm on Mon 27 Nov. Plus, like last year, online shoppers also got free delivery. As the sale was 'up to' 50%, not all items were reduced by the full amount, but we found a decent number were.

It's gone

Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Nov, Week 4
  • 2016: Nov, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

deal analysis

This year, hip fashion retailer Urban Outfitters offered up to 50% off online and in stores for Black Friday weekend. Like last year's sale, it didn't include everything, but we saw a broad range of discounts across men's and women's fashion, homeware and gifts, with many items at around 50% off.

December 2017

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 1

27th - 3rd
It's on

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

deal analysis

Until Sun 17 Dec, if you're an American Express cardholder (some exclusions, see below), you can get £5 cashback when spending £10+ at selected local businesses including restaurants, clothes shops, hotels, hairdressers and galleries when you register your Amex with the Shop Small website.

It's on

£10 Baileys (1L) in supermarkets

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Nov, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

£10 Baileys (1L) in supermarkets

deal analysis

If you go online to Morrisons, or pop into a store, you can get a 1-litre bottle of Baileys Original for £10 (normally £20) until Sun 3 Dec, while stocks last. Previously, 1L bottles at this price have been snapped up quickly, especially in the run up to Christmas – so get moving if you want to be like the cat that got the (Irish) cream.

It's on

Beauty advent calendars reduced

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Beauty advent calendars reduced

deal analysis

Beauty advent calendars can be great value for money as they're often priced less than their individual contents. They usually start being discounted at the start of December, making them even better value if you're just after the products inside. So far discounts include up to 50% off beauty advent calendars at Superdrug and Ciaté's discounted to £25.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

deal analysis

Just as we predicted, Boots offer a Ted Baker 'Porcelain Rose Garden' toiletries set for £25 (norm £50) as part of its 'Star Gift' promotion. We totted up the value of items based on the cost of full-sized and similar items and the rough total came to £37.50, so we reckon it was a decent deal for £25.

It's on

Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

deal analysis

For the last five years, Sainsbury's has offered 25% off its Tu clothing range in the first week of December - and it did exactly the same this year. Its offer included sale items and Christmas jumpers. It could be a great chance to stock up for presents and Christmas parties.

It's gone

Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

deal analysis

Santa and his elves at the RNIB send Braille replies for free (stamp needed), and will even do you a personalised video message if you want. This year, the closing date for Braille replies from Santa was Fri 1 Dec. The deadline for a written response from Santa via Royal Mail was around a week later.

It's on

£10 West End theatre tickets

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

£10 West End theatre tickets

deal analysis

For the seventh year in a row, theatre lovers can get £10-£40 tickets for over 40 London shows including Aladdin, Wicked, Les Misérables and The Lion King, for performances between Mon 1 Jan and Fri 9 Feb. The tickets include matinée and evening performances, and some weekends.

Week 2

4th - 10th
It's gone

Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

deal analysis

The Body Shop is renowned for running promotions throughout the year, so it’s rare you’ll ever need to pay full-price. This year, for the fourth year running, it offered a code for 40% off most items. Plus if you spent £15+ after discounts, you got a free £15 200ml body butter.

It's gone

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

deal analysis

Christmas wouldn’t be Christmas without Boots offering a discount on one of its HUGELY popular Soap & Glory gift sets. Just as we predicted, you could get get a Soap & Glory 'Spa of Wonder' body care set for £30 (norm £60) during the second week of December. We worked out the products would cost £78 if bought individually.

Prediction

Figleaves 25% off online code

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 1
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Figleaves 25% off online code

deal analysis

Online lingerie retailer Figleaves has offered a code for 25% off in December for the last four years. Last year it ran a 25% off code for one day only, on Mon 12 Dec, but previously it was always in the first week of December. We expect it to run a similar offer this year, but the exact week of knickers coming down (in price!) is difficult to predict. Watch this space.

It's gone

Free Santa letter deadline

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 1
  • 2014: Dec, Week 1
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Free Santa letter deadline

deal analysis

Some companies charge up to £10 to reply to kids' letters to Father Christmas. Yet if you apply to Royal Mail, you can get a response from Santa for the price of a stamp (65p first class, 56p second class). However, this year's deadline was Friday 8 December so you won't receive a reply if you send letters now - we're only leaving this info here so you have it for next year.

It's gone

Thorntons 15% off online code

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Thorntons 15% off online code

deal analysis

Thorntons offered a 15% off code during the second week of December. The discount was less than last year's 20% off. However, this wasn't entirely unexpected as Thorntons scaled back its promotional activity considerably in 2017.

Prediction

Topman FLASH 20% off

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 2
  • 2014: Dec, Week 2
  • 2015: Dec, Week 2
  • 2016: Dec, Week 2
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Topman FLASH 20% off

deal analysis

Topman normally offers a flash 20% off in December - but last year it was 24% off, for one day only on Wed 7 Dec. What's more, there was a trick to boost this to 31% if you stacked it with a 10% off code for new email subscribers.

Week 3

11th - 17th
It's on

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 3
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

deal analysis

As we predicted, you can get a No7 'Star Beauty' beauty and skincare bundle for £39 until Christmas Eve, while stocks last. This gift set, which includes body wash, day cream and mascara, is normally £80, but if the 10 products were bought individually they would cost £144ish, so getting it all for £39 gives a substantial saving.

It's on

House of Fraser up to 50% off decorations

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: N/A
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

House of Fraser up to 50% off decorations

deal analysis

As we predicted, you can get up to 50% off Christmas decorations and 40% off artificial Christmas trees online and in store at House of Fraser. Last year we saw reductions boost to up to 70% off. Usually, the longer you wait, the bigger discount you'll get - so it's up to you if it's worth the wait.

It's on

John Lewis up to 50% off Xmas decorations

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 3
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

John Lewis up to 50% off Xmas decorations

deal analysis

For the last four years, we’ve seen John Lewis offer up to 50% off Christmas decorations in the third week of December, and last year the discount increased to up to 80% off in the run-up to Christmas. It’s a good time to stock up for next Christmas (or even this one, if you like to leave things to the very last minute). You’d be crackers not to. As we expected, John Lewis started reducing its Christmas decorations in the third week of December. John Lewis doesn't give the sale a percentage discount online, but when we checked on Tue 19 Dec we found discounts of up to 50% off. In 2016, we didn't see reductions greater than 50% off, so we doubt the discount will boost this year.

Prediction

Kurt Geiger up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: N/A
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Kurt Geiger up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

In 2016, Kurt Geiger's up to 50% off sale started on Thu 15 Dec - and we reckon it'll start around that date this year. If you're planning to buy your Christmas presents in the sale, be aware you may need to pay for premium delivery to get them in time. Last year the sale was boosted to up to 70% towards the end of December.

It's on

M&S up to 50% off Xmas wrapping & gifts

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 3
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 3
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

M&S up to 50% off Xmas wrapping & gifts

deal analysis

As we predicted, you can get 50% off wrapping, cards and gifts at M&S. If you've managed to wait until a week before the big day, or you want to stock up for next year - you’re likely to make a considerable saving.

Week 4

Till Xmas eve
18th - 24th
It's on

Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Asos started its up to 50% off 'January sale' on Fri 22 Dec. We then saw it boost to up to 70% off from Fri 29 Dec. In past sales we haven't seen it boost further than 70%, so if there's something you want, go quick as stock's limited.

It's on

John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Just like last year, the John Lewis 'January sale' started on Christmas Eve, both online and in stores, and it was billed as up to 50% off selected brands. We didn't see the discount increase during last year's sale, so if you want something, it might be worth buying as soon as the sale starts.

It's on

M&S up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

M&S up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

As we predicted, M&S started its up to 50% off 'January sale' online on Christmas Eve, and in stores on Boxing Day. It then boosted to 'up to 60% off' on Thu 4 Jan. Based on previous years, we expect the discount to increase to 70% off. So if you can hold off, you'll likely bag a bigger bargain.

It's on

Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Next's 'at least 50% off' sale started online on Christmas Eve, and in stores on Boxing Day - just like last year. We didn't see the discount increase during last year's sale - so if you want something in particular, it might be worth buying before stock sells out.

It's gone

Travelodge 30% off 1m+ rooms

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 3
  • 2014: Dec, Week 3
  • 2015: Dec, Week 3
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Travelodge 30% off 1m+ rooms

deal analysis

Historically, Travelodge has offered a deal at the end of December for selected dates the following year. This year, it offered 30% off stays of up to two nights between Mon 1 Jan and Thu 12 Apr - slightly stronger than last year's 26% off.

Week 5

After Xmas eve
25th - 31st
It's gone

Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
prediction

Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

From Boxing Day, Amazon offered 24-hour 'Deals of the Day' and up to four hours long quick-fire 'Lightning Deals' across most of its departments. From what we saw, ‘up to 50% off’ was a fair summary of its 'January sale', and some of the decent deals we spotted included big brands such as Vax, Phillips and Le Creuset.

It's on

Argos up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Argos up to 60% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Like last year, Argos started its sale online on Christmas Day and in stores on Boxing Day. It was billed as 'up to 50% off'. However, we did spot a few items reduced by more than 50%. Strong deals included a Philips shaver set, a Rebok exercise bike and Tefal pans.

It's gone

Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

when it's happened
  • 2013: Dec, Week 4
  • 2014: Dec, Week 4
  • 2015: Dec, Week 4
  • 2016: Dec, Week 4
likelihood
did it happen? IT'S ON!
prediction

Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale'

deal analysis

Let's be honest, £900 handbags certainly aren't MoneySaving. However... if you're going to buy one anyway and can afford it, you might as well get it while there's a decent discount to be had.. As we predicted, Mulberry's up to 50% off 'January sale' started on Boxing Day, both online and in stores.

January 2018

The deals we predict will happen this month and why

Week 1

1st - 7th
Prediction

Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

deal analysis

Italian restaurant chain Carluccios has offered a rare 2for1 voucher in the first week of January for the last five years, and we expect it to serve up a repeat in 2018. It rarely offers discounts, so it could cook up a storm again with this one.

Prediction

Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

deal analysis

The first week of January is usually a great time for bargain hunters to find cheap chocolates and Christmas goodies. Last year we spotted plenty of reduced festive treats across the big supermarkets and other retailers, eg, Superdrug. Discounts included Terry's Chocolate Orange for 49p and Cadbury's selection boxes for £1.

Prediction

Eurostar £52 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Eurostar £52 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

deal analysis

We’ve seen a Eurostar sale in the first week of January for the last five years, and expect the same again in 2018. Last year, we saw £52 return train tickets to Paris, Lille, Calais or Brussels from London St Pancras, Ebbsfleet International or Ashford International. If you’re planning a trip to France or Belgium in the New Year, you could be on track for a decent saving.

Prediction

£50 off Merlin annual pass

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

£50 off Merlin annual pass

deal analysis

We usually see decent discounts on annual Merlin passes in the first week of January, which can get regulars to its theme parks and attractions a good deal compared with paying as you go. Last year it was £129 (reduced from £179). The pass gets you unlimited visits to 32 attractions including Alton Towers, Thorpe Park and Legoland.

Prediction

The Sun '£9.50' Holidays via tokens

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

The Sun '£9.50' Holidays via tokens

deal analysis

Historically, we've seen The Sun offer its '£9.50' holidays at the beginning of January. In reality, they're never actually £9.50 - but if you dodge the costly extras you can get a trip for four people for £44. Last year the first date to start collecting tokens was Sat 7 Jan, so we expect the offer to begin at a similar time in 2018.

Prediction

Free Weight Watchers via cashback

when it's happened
  • 2013: Jan, Week 1
  • 2014: Jan, Week 1
  • 2015: Jan, Week 1
  • 2016: Jan, Week 1
likelihood
did it happen? Watch this space!
prediction

Free Weight Watchers via cashback

deal analysis

If you need some help with your New Year’s resolutions, you may be able to get a free three-month trial of Weight Watchers this January (norm £35ish). New Quidco members have traditionally been able to bag a free trial via cashback in the first week of the year, so you can save pounds while you shed pounds.

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