Christmas Deals Predictor for 2025

Mon 27 Oct - Sun 2 Nov

Grey Friday deals

Even though Black Friday isn't for a few weeks, this is where we see some big retailers kick off their Black Friday sales, and the price-matching commences – so Martin calls it 'Grey' Friday.

Xmas Deal

25% off six bottles of wine in supermarkets

It's On

On until 17 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Half-price Soap & Glory sets at Boots

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Boots half-price Ted Baker 'Star Gift' sets

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Grey Friday

John Lewis hundreds of deals throughout the month

It's Gone

Happened 29 October 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Dyson up to £200 off deals

It's Gone

Happened 28 October 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

The Range 'up to 50% off' selected items, for a month

It's Gone

Happened 30 October 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

AO.com discounts on 100s of items, lasting about four weeks

It's Gone

Happened 28 October 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Boots discounts on beauty, fragrance etc the whole month

It's Gone

Happened 28 October 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Vax up to £170 selected items

It's Gone

Happened 29 October 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Decathlon 'up to 50% off' selected sporting equipment‎

It's Gone

Happened 3 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Iceland Bonus Card free £15 for topping up £100 by early November

It's Gone

Happened 16 September 2025 - 28 October 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Up to 50% off toy sales

hero-homepage-toy-sale-toys-kids-children-playing-gifts

It's Gone

Happened 16 September 2025 - 2 November 2025

Get deal

Mon 3 Nov - Sun 9 Nov

This week...

£10 Baileys 1L, Disney Store 25% off toys & more 'Grey' Friday deals

Xmas Deal

£10 Baileys 1L at Asda and Amazon

It's Gone

Happened 27 October 2025 - 8 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Halfords up to 50% off selected items

It's Gone

Happened 5 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Shark up to £130 off selected products, until Cyber Monday

It's Gone

Happened 4 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Sky Essential TV + Full Fibre 500 bundle for £34/month ‎

It's Gone

Happened 6 November 2025 - 5 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Disney FLASH 25% off toys code, two days only

It's Gone

Happened 4 November 2025 - 5 November 2025

Get deal

Mon 10 Nov - Sun 16 Nov

This week...

50% off Xmas trees, Matalan 25% off, Google Store discounts & more

Xmas Deal

Tesco Clubcard 50% off Christmas trees in stores only from Thu 13 Nov

It's On

On until 14 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Grey Friday

Google Store discounts on selected items

It's Gone

Happened 12 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

It's Gone

Happened 12 November 2025 - 5 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

RAC up to 50% off breakdown cover for about three weeks

It's Gone

Happened 12 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

M&S up to 40% off selected homeware, 20% off women's brands & more

It's Gone

Happened 13 November 2025 - 3 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Matalan 25% off selected men's & women's clothing

It's Gone

Happened 10 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

PizzaExpress Snowball Dough Ball Day on Sun 16 Nov

It's Gone

Happened 16 November 2025 - 16 November 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Sainsbury's 'Count Up To Christmas' - earn up to 1,500 bonus Nectar points

It's Gone

Happened 1 October 2025 - 11 November 2025

Get deal

Mon 17 Nov - Sun 23 Nov

This week...

£10-£60 London theatre tickets, Amazon Black Friday sale, Smyths £5 off £50 & more

Xmas Deal

Half-price No7 beauty 'Star Gift' set at Boots

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal*

Xmas Deal

£10 to £60 West End theatre tickets from Tue 18 Nov

It's On

On until 28 February 2026 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Grey Friday

Kurt Geiger up to 40% off selected boots, for about two weeks

It's Gone

Happened 19 November 2025 - 5 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

AA 40% to 50% off breakdown cover, for about three weeks

It's Gone

Happened 19 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Santa's Arrival at Dobbies Garden Centres free event (70+ stores)

It's Gone

Happened 23 November 2025 - 23 November 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Nike 'up to 50% off' most items

It's Gone

Happened 17 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Benefit 'up to 50% off' selected items

It's Gone

Happened 17 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Adidas up to 60% off selected items, for over a week

It's Gone

Happened 18 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Asos daily deals followed with up to 80% off everything

It's Gone

Happened 18 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Dunelm 'up to 50% off', including branded items

It's Gone

Happened 19 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Smyths discounts across different departments

It's Gone

Happened 18 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Amazon daily & 'lightning' deals

It's Gone

Happened 20 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Amazon Resale extra 20% off

Amazon-renames-Amazon-Warehouse-to-Amazon-Resale-1024x683

It's Gone

Happened 20 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Thrift+ clothes, shoes & accessories for under £5

It's Gone

Happened 21 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Grey Friday

Sainsbury's Tu 20% off sale

It's Gone

Happened 21 November 2025 - 29 November 2025

Get deal

Mon 24 Nov - Sun 30 Nov

Black Friday week

Black Friday is 28 November this year. However, we see many retailers start sales much earlier than this. See our full Black Friday 2025 analysis.

Black Friday

Disney Store 25% off full-price items, online only

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 5 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Ryanair 'Cyber Week' daily deals for seven days

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Game £20 voucher when you spend £100

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 4 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Habitat 20% off code on selected furniture

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

M&S 20% off Christmas trees via Sparks app

It's Gone

Happened 27 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Travelodge 30% off

It's Gone

Happened 27 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Free RNIB Santa letter deadline: Sun 30 Nov

It's Gone

Happened 29 September 2025 - 30 November 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

TrainPal 50% off railcards for newbies

It's Gone

Happened 29 November 2025 - 30 November 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

French Connection 30% off everything, lasting a few days

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Apple 'free' gift card with purchase

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

H&M 20% off selected items, then up to 40% off (both members only)

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 2 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Illy 20% off selected coffee, machines and accessories

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Ralph Lauren 25% off

It's Gone

Happened 25 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Urban Outfitters extra 30% off sale items

/content/dam/mse/deals/urban-outfitters.png

It's Gone

Happened 24 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Lego 'free' gifts with purchase & discounts for Insiders (members)

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Selfridges up to 30% off beauty & gifts for members

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Gap 25% off full-price items when spending £75+

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

eBay 20% off 100s of outlets, 40% off Dyson, 25% off Shark & Ninja

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Vodafone full fibre 150Mb '£20/month'

It's Gone

Happened 27 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

British Gas Black Friday offers including 50% off homecare

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Sim prices keep tumbling - 100GB of data '£4/month' or 35GB for '£2/month'

hero-homepage-mobile-phone-nano-sim-card

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

BT superfast full fibre from £25.99 a month

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Virgin Media's three months 'free' broadband on many packages

It's Gone

Happened 28 November 2025 - 1 December 2025

Get deal

Black Friday

Eurostar £78 return tickets for about seven days

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Black Friday

National Express 75% off for Amazon Prime members

/content/dam/mse/deals/NatExpressSquare.jpg

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Mon 1 Dec - Sun 7 Dec

This week...

John Lewis daily app deals, cheap B&M Xmas decorations & more

Xmas Deal

B&M three toys for £20, for about two weeks

It's On

On until 21 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Toby Carvery, Harvester & Stonehouse £12 Santa breakfast from Sat 6 Dec

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

12 Treats of Christmas: Daily deals on the John Lewis app

It's On

On until 12 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

B&M up to 50% off selected Christmas decorations

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Xmas Deal

12 Days of Sparks: Daily deals on the M&S app

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Xmas Deal

Ikea digital advent calendar

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Mon 8 Dec - Sun 14 Dec

This week...

B&M three toys for £20, 'free' Santa letter deadline, Ikea winter sale & more

Xmas Deal

John Lewis 20% off selected trees and lights

It's On

On until 24 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

'Free' Royal Mail Santa letter deadline: Wed 10 Dec

It's On

On until 10 December 2025 or when stocks run out

Get deal

Xmas Deal

Two cinema tickets for £14 via Groupon till mid-February

Maybe

Could be on from 10 December 2025 - 11 February 2026

Xmas Deal

Ikea up to 60% off winter sale, online & in stores

Likely

Should be on from 13 December 2025 - 31 December 2025

Xmas Deal

H&M up to 50% off, likely to boost

Highly Likely

Should be on from 13 December 2025 - 30 December 2025

Xmas Deal

NOT HAPPENING: Free NSPCC Santa letter

Didn't Happen

Maybe next year

Mon 15 Dec - Sun 21 Dec

This week...

Cheap Xmas veg, Matalan pre-Xmas discounts, British Airways sale & more

Xmas Deal

CONFIRMED 8p cheap Christmas veg, supermarket price war

Highly Likely

Should be on from 17 December 2025 - 24 December 2025

Xmas Deal

Asos up to 60% off sale, for about three weeks

Highly Likely

Should be on from 16 December 2025 - 1 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Matalan up to 50% off selected Christmas items & brands

Likely

Should be on from 16 December 2025 - 31 December 2025

Xmas Deal

Argos up to 50% off sale, lasting a couple of weeks

Likely

Should be on from 18 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

British Airways 'January' sale, lasting a few weeks

Highly Likely

Should be on from 18 December 2025 - 27 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Virgin Atlantic winter sale, until early February

Likely

Should be on from 18 December 2025 - 1 February 2026

Mon 22 Dec - Sun 28 Dec

This week...

Next 50% off, Amazon up to 40% off, Ryanair £30 flights & more

Xmas Deal

Easyjet up to 20% off flights & £400 off package holidays

/content/dam/mse/deals/easyJet-logo23.jpg

Likely

Should be on from 22 December 2025 - 2 February 2026

Xmas Deal

The Body Shop up to 50% off sale, lasting a few weeks

Highly Likely

Should be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Boots up to 50% off sale, likely to boost in stores in January

Highly Likely

Should be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Jet2 sale, including £90 off holidays & 15% off all flights

Maybe

Could be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

John Lewis up to 50% off Xmas shop & 30% off fashion

Highly Likely

Should be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Matalan up to 50% off, likely to boost in January

Highly Likely

Should be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Next at least 50% off sale, for a couple of weeks

Highly Likely

Should be on from 24 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Amazon up to 40% off sale, from Boxing Day

Maybe

Could be on from 26 December 2025 - 30 December 2025

Xmas Deal

Kurt Geiger up to 50% off

Likely

Should be on from 26 December 2025 - 30 January 2026

Xmas Deal

M&S up to 50% off sale, could boost but unlikely

Likely

Should be on from 26 December 2025 - 30 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Mulberry up to 50% off

Highly Likely

Should be on from 26 December 2025 - 31 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Asos up to 80% off sale, plus extra up to 30% off code

Maybe

Could be on from 27 December 2025 - 30 January 2026

Xmas Deal

Ryanair flights from £29.99 on 200+ destinations

Likely

Should be on from 27 December 2025 - 30 December 2025

Mon 29 Dec - Sun 11 Jan

These weeks...

The Sun holidays, Pizza Express 2for1 for £1, Eurostar £70 returns & more

January Deal

January restaurant deals at Pizza Express, Harvester & more

Likely

Should be on from 1 January 2026 - 31 January 2026

January Deal

Eurostar £70 return (January to April trips)

Likely

Should be on from 2 January 2026 - 8 January 2026

January Deal

H&M sale boosting to up to 70% off

Likely

Should be on from 2 January 2026 - 31 January 2026

January Deal

M&S sale boosting to up to 70% off

Highly Unlikely

We're doubtful it'll happen but check around 5 January 2026

January Deal

The Sun '£9.50' holidays

Highly Likely

Should be on from 10 January 2026 - 29 January 2026

Take this with a slight pinch of salt.This is a predictor, and we've had a fairly unpredictable few years.

Mon 27 Oct - Sun 2 Nov

25% off six bottles of wine in supermarkets

Half-price Soap & Glory sets at Boots

Boots half-price Ted Baker 'Star Gift' sets

John Lewis hundreds of deals throughout the month

Dyson up to £200 off deals

The Range 'up to 50% off' selected items, for a month

AO.com discounts on 100s of items, lasting about four weeks

Boots discounts on beauty, fragrance etc the whole month

Vax up to £170 selected items

Decathlon 'up to 50% off' selected sporting equipment‎

Iceland Bonus Card free £15 for topping up £100 by early November

Up to 50% off toy sales

Mon 3 Nov - Sun 9 Nov

£10 Baileys 1L at Asda and Amazon

Halfords up to 50% off selected items

Shark up to £130 off selected products, until Cyber Monday

Sky Essential TV + Full Fibre 500 bundle for £34/month ‎

Disney FLASH 25% off toys code, two days only

Mon 10 Nov - Sun 16 Nov

Tesco Clubcard 50% off Christmas trees in stores only from Thu 13 Nov

Google Store discounts on selected items

La Redoute 40% off EVERYTHING code

RAC up to 50% off breakdown cover for about three weeks

M&S up to 40% off selected homeware, 20% off women's brands & more

Matalan 25% off selected men's & women's clothing

PizzaExpress Snowball Dough Ball Day on Sun 16 Nov

Sainsbury's 'Count Up To Christmas' - earn up to 1,500 bonus Nectar points

Mon 17 Nov - Sun 23 Nov

Half-price No7 beauty 'Star Gift' set at Boots

£10 to £60 West End theatre tickets from Tue 18 Nov

Kurt Geiger up to 40% off selected boots, for about two weeks

AA 40% to 50% off breakdown cover, for about three weeks

Santa's Arrival at Dobbies Garden Centres free event (70+ stores)

Nike 'up to 50% off' most items

Benefit 'up to 50% off' selected items

Adidas up to 60% off selected items, for over a week

Asos daily deals followed with up to 80% off everything

Dunelm 'up to 50% off', including branded items

Smyths discounts across different departments

Amazon daily & 'lightning' deals

Amazon Resale extra 20% off

Thrift+ clothes, shoes & accessories for under £5

Sainsbury's Tu 20% off sale

Mon 24 Nov - Sun 30 Nov

Disney Store 25% off full-price items, online only

Ryanair 'Cyber Week' daily deals for seven days

Game £20 voucher when you spend £100

Habitat 20% off code on selected furniture

M&S 20% off Christmas trees via Sparks app

Travelodge 30% off

Free RNIB Santa letter deadline: Sun 30 Nov

TrainPal 50% off railcards for newbies

French Connection 30% off everything, lasting a few days

Apple 'free' gift card with purchase

H&M 20% off selected items, then up to 40% off (both members only)

Illy 20% off selected coffee, machines and accessories

Ralph Lauren 25% off

Urban Outfitters extra 30% off sale items

Lego 'free' gifts with purchase & discounts for Insiders (members)

Selfridges up to 30% off beauty & gifts for members

Gap 25% off full-price items when spending £75+

eBay 20% off 100s of outlets, 40% off Dyson, 25% off Shark & Ninja

Vodafone full fibre 150Mb '£20/month'

British Gas Black Friday offers including 50% off homecare

Sim prices keep tumbling - 100GB of data '£4/month' or 35GB for '£2/month'

BT superfast full fibre from £25.99 a month

Virgin Media's three months 'free' broadband on many packages

Eurostar £78 return tickets for about seven days

National Express 75% off for Amazon Prime members

Mon 1 Dec - Sun 7 Dec

B&M three toys for £20, for about two weeks

Toby Carvery, Harvester & Stonehouse £12 Santa breakfast from Sat 6 Dec

12 Treats of Christmas: Daily deals on the John Lewis app

B&M up to 50% off selected Christmas decorations

Amex £5 cashback at local shops

12 Days of Sparks: Daily deals on the M&S app

Ikea digital advent calendar

Mon 8 Dec - Sun 14 Dec