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We've analysed six years of deals, dating back to 2010, and studied this year's trends to forecast 2016's Christmas offers. Nothing's guaranteed - the aim is to allow you to plan when to pounce and bag your planned Christmas shopping for less (for more get the free weekly email).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are we doing this?

To save you money, of course! Pre-Christmas, when retailers launch discount codes, they have one main aim. They want to avoid giving discounts to people who would buy in their stores anyway and instead target price-conscious consumers who are looking around on impulse for somewhere to shop.

That’s why they launch codes, sales or discounts only for a very short amount of time in the run-up to Christmas, as opposed to the lengthy January sales.

What we want to do is help people who know where they want to shop to be ready to pounce at the perfect moment to take advantage of those offers. If you like, perverting the marketing plans of Britain’s big retailers.

To get the best out of our Christmas Deals Predictor it’s best to know what you want to buy and where it’s sold. Then use the calendar to plan your spending and hope you’ll be able to get what you want at a much reduced price.

How well did we do last year?

  • 94% of the retailers we predicted would do an offer did an offer of some description.
  • 88% did the exact offer we predicted. Most of our incorrect predictions were agonisingly close to the actual offer, eg, Gap running a 50% off in-store voucher, when we predicted 40%.
  • 90% of the offers happened on the day we predicted, although the discount may have varied slightly.
  • Will this be a self-defeating prophecy?

    This is something we worried about when we launched this for the first time in 2013. Stores primarily launch discounts to tempt in customers who wouldn’t normally buy. The fact we’re doing this is somewhat market disruptive as our aim is to show those who’ve planned to buy how to take advantage. Our fear was that the retailers would move or cancel their promotions as a result. Thankfully, it hasn't had that impact for the past three years, and we hope it won’t this year either.

    November 2016

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 3

    14th - 20th
    It's on

    £9-£10 champagne deals in stores

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £9-£10 champagne deals in stores

    deal analysis

    The big supermarkets have been consistent in offering discounted champagne from the third weekend of November. We've already seen a £9 bottle at Tesco and Asda, Aldi and Lidl all have £10 champers. Corking! Beware though, prices are often inflated for the rest of the year to make savings seem larger at Christmas and Valentine's Day.

    It's on

    'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Oct, Week 3
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    'Free' Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

    deal analysis

    Megabus is offering 20,000 'free' one-way tickets on 90+ routes across England, Scotland and Wales for travel between Mon 9 Jan and Thu 9 Feb. You'll just need to pay a 50p booking fee per transaction, not per ticket.

    It's gone

    Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Nectar Double-Up at Sainsbury's

    deal analysis

    Sainsbury's has consistently run its double points event in the third week of November for the last three years. As we expected, you were able to double up your points between Wed 16 Nov and Tue 22 Nov. The selected categories included toys, homeware, electricals, Tu clothing and entertainment.

    It's gone

    Habitat 20% off flash sale

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Habitat 20% off flash sale

    deal analysis

    Habitat surprised us this year by running its flash sale a week early. You could get 20% off almost everything online from 5pm on Wed 16 Nov via a code, and in stores all day on Thu 17 Nov, where the discount was be applied automatically.

    Week 4

    21st - 27th
    It's on

    Ikea buy £25 Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Ikea buy £25 Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

    deal analysis

    As we expected, Ikea is running its tree-mendous offer this year. If you buy a £25 real Christmas tree from your nearest Ikea, you'll be given a £20 voucher to spend at any participating store between Mon 16 Jan and Sun 12 Feb next year. Officially, it's on until Fri 23 Dec, but if previous years are anything to go by, this'll be popular - so go quick.

    It's on

    Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

    deal analysis

    As predicted, Tesco will be offering 25% off when you buy six or more bottles of wine or champagne until Mon 5 Dec. You can get the deal online and in larger stores (not Express stores). Perfect for stocking up for Christmas!

    It's on

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 2
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Sanctuary Spa set

    deal analysis

    From Thu 24 Nov, if you go online to Boots or visit one of its stores by 11.59pm on Wed 30 Nov, you could get a Sanctuary Spa 'Make a Wish' set for £23 (norm £45), subject to availability. Delivery's £3.50 if you order online, or you can collect in a store for free.

    It's gone

    Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Selfridges 20% off online & in stores

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, posh department store Selfridges offered up to 20% off via an online code or in-store voucher over the Black Friday weekend, until Sun 27 Nov. The deal began for its email database from Wed 23 Nov online and everyone else online from Thu 24 Nov.

    The Black Friday Effect. In recent years, we've seen deals previously spread over Nov & Dec pulled into retailers' Black Friday offerings. This can skew our predictions slightly and we predict the trend will continue.

    Week 5

    Black Friday Weekend
    25th - 28th
    It's on

    Amazon daily & lightning deals

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Amazon daily & lightning deals

    deal analysis

    As we expected, Amazon offered short-lived deals in the run up to the Black Friday weekend and its event runs until Sun 4 Dec. Like last year, we haven't been overly impressed by its offering and it's lost the price war to John Lewis and Tesco Direct for a number of items.

    It's on

    £20 Burt's Bees grab bags

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £20 Burt's Bees grab bags

    deal analysis

    If you enter our MSE Blagged code online at Burt's Bees, you'll get 20% off everything until 11.59pm on Mon 5 Dec. The best way to max your saving is by using the code on its grab bags as other items on its site can be cheaper elsewhere. You can get them for £19.99 each with the code and each include £37+ of products.

    It's gone

    Tesco Direct deals & online codes

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Tesco Direct deals & online codes

    deal analysis

    Tesco's Black Friday event kicked off early this year and ran until Thu 1 Dec.It offered strong discounts on electronics, toys and household appliances, including a £189 iPad mini 2 32GB.

    It's gone

    Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: N/A
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Urban Outfitters up to 50% off

    deal analysis

    Hip fashion retailer Urban Outfitters offered up to 50% off online and in stores until 11.59pm on Mon 28 Nov. We blagged a special code for early access to some of these Urban Outfitters discounts, so MoneySavers had first dibs on stock before everyone else was allowed in.

    It's gone

    House of Fraser up to 50% off

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: N/A
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    House of Fraser up to 50% off

    deal analysis

    You could get up to 50% off a large range of items online at department store House of Fraser, or when you shopped in store, as part of its Black Friday promotion until 11.59pm on Mon 28 Nov - just as we predicted.

    It's gone

    Laura Ashley 30% off + extra 10% off

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Laura Ashley 30% off + extra 10% off

    deal analysis

    From 10am on Fri 25 Nov, Laura Ashley ran its usual Black Friday promotion of an extra 10% off its 30% off sale, until 11.59pm on Mon 28 Nov. Almost everything was included in the promotion.

    It's gone

    M&S 30-50% off online & in store

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    M&S 30-50% off online & in store

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, if you went online to M&S or into a store, you could get 30%-50% off selected gift items including beauty, menswear, lingerie, kidswear and home, until Mon 28 Nov.

    It's gone

    John Lewis deals & price-matching

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    John Lewis deals & price-matching

    deal analysis

    Like last year, you could get discounts on selected items when you went online to John Lewis or into a store until 11.59pm on Mon 28 Nov, as part of its "biggest ever" Black Friday promotion. It's also continued its usual 'Never Knowingly Undersold'* price promise policy.

    It's gone

    Ralph Lauren 30-40% off most items online

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Ralph Lauren 30-40% off most items online

    deal analysis

    For its Black Friday promotion, posh clothes brand Ralph Lauren offered 30% off most items until 11.59pm on Mon 28 Nov - just as we predicted it would.

    It's gone

    Gap 40-50% off online & in stores

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Gap 40-50% off online & in stores

    deal analysis

    If you went online to Gap you could get 40% off full-price items when you entered a code at the checkout until 11.59pm on Sun 27 Nov, as part of its Black Friday promotion.

    It's gone

    Asos 20% off almost everything

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Asos 20% off almost everything

    deal analysis

    We were right in predicting Asos would offer a code for 20% off almost everything over the Black Friday weekend. The discount worked on full-price and already-discounted items, including lines in the up to 70% off outlet.

    It's gone

    Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Game discounts on PS4 & Xbox bundles

    deal analysis

    Game kicked off its Black Friday deals with discounts on Xbox One and PS4 consoles and software. When we looked on Fri 25 Nov, we found that a number of the products included in Game's Black Friday deals were cheaper elsewhere, showing it's always worth doing your own research before buying.

    It's gone

    French Connection up to 50% off

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 2
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    French Connection up to 50% off

    deal analysis

    You could get up to 50% off selected items online at French Connection as part of its Black Friday offering. Last year, it also offered a flash 25% online discount code on Cyber Monday.

    It's gone

    Disney Store 20% off in store & online

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Disney Store 20% off in store & online

    deal analysis

    This year, the Disney Store offered 20% off most items (including those already discounted) until closing time on Sun 27 Nov in stores and 11.59pm on Tue 29 Nov online.

    It's gone

    Kurt Geiger 20% off code

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Kurt Geiger 20% off code

    deal analysis

    Like last year, Kurt Geiger offered 20% off over the Black Friday weekend, which was valid on women's, men's and kids' footwear, including Ugg styles.

    It's gone

    Johnsons 50% off dry cleaning

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Johnsons 50% off dry cleaning

    deal analysis

    Johnsons The Cleaners did do a Black Friday deal as we predicted, but it wasn't as strong as the 2for1 offer we saw last year. You could get 50% off dry cleaning for black items only on Fri 25 Nov and Sat 26 Nov.

    It's gone

    Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Matalan up to 50% off in store and online

    deal analysis

    Matalan surprised us this year by not offering about 20% off as it has for the past four years but it did offer up to 50% off for Black Friday. In previous years you could get £5 off when you spent £25, as well as codes for £10 off £50 and £15 off £75.

    It's gone

    BT broadband & line rental deal

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: N/A
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    BT broadband & line rental deal

    deal analysis

    Until Mon 28 Nov, BT broadband newbies (anyone who didn't have it already) could get a one-year contract for line rent and up-to-52Mb speed unlimited broadband (up to 3x faster than standard) discounted.

    It's on

    Sky broadband & line rental deal

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: N/A
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Sky broadband & line rental deal

    deal analysis

    Until Sun 4 Dec, newbies to Sky (or those who left 12+ months ago) can get its unlimited up-to 17Mb broadband discounted to £15/mth on a 12-month contract.

    It's gone

    Plusnet broadband & line rental deal

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: N/A
    • 2015: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Plusnet broadband & line rental deal

    deal analysis

    Until Tue 29 Nov, new customers could get an 18-mth contract with BT-owned Plusnet, which includes line rental and unlimited downloads with up-to-17Mb speed broadband.

    December 2016

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 1

    28th - 4th
    It's on

    £10 West End theatre tickets

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £10 West End theatre tickets

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, Get into London Theatre opens for general booking for everyone on Tue 6 Dec, but Mastercard holders get priority booking from 10am on Fri 25 Nov until 9.59am on Tue 6 Dec – you'll need to be registered and pay with a Mastercard.

    It's on

    Amex £5 cashback at local shops

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Amex £5 cashback at local shops

    deal analysis

    As we expected, American Express has confirmed its 'Shop Small' promotion will return from Sat 3 Dec - Sun 18 Dec. When you spend £10 at a participating small business, you'll receive a £5 credit to your Amex account.

    It's on

    Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Free Santa letter deadline (RNIB) - 1 Dec

    deal analysis

    Santa and his elves at RNIB will reply for free (stamp needed), and he'll even do you a personalised video message if you want. You'll need to send your letter by Thu 1 Dec to make sure Santa receives it in time.

    It's on

    £10 Baileys (1L) in supermarkets

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £10 Baileys (1L) in supermarkets

    deal analysis

    Discounts on Baileys often pop up at the big supermarkets around this time of year. Once again, 1L bottles of Baileys are reduced from £20 to £10 at Morrisons until Sun 4 Dec online and in store, while stocks last.

    It's on

    Beauty advent calendars reduced

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Beauty advent calendars reduced

    deal analysis

    Even at full price, beauty advent calendars can be great value for money as they're often priced less than their individual contents. We've already seen the Ciate advent calendar discounted to £25, so keep an eye out for other strong offers.

    It's on

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Ted Baker set

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, if you go online to Boots or visit one of its stores by 11.59pm on Thu 8 Dec, you can get a Ted Baker 'Treasure Chest' body care set for £25 (norm £50), subject to availability. We totted up the value of items based on the cost of full-sized and similar items and the total came to £39, so it’s a decent deal for £25.

    It's on

    Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Sainsbury's Tu 25% off sale

    deal analysis

    As expected, Sainsbury's is offering 25% off its Tu clothing range online and in large stores that stock the range until 11.59pm on Mon 5 Dec incl sale items and Christmas jumpers. This could be a great chance to stock up for presents and Christmas parties.

    Prediction

    Figleaves 25% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Figleaves 25% off online code

    deal analysis

    Online lingerie retailer Figleaves has offered a code for 25% off in the first week of December for the last three years and we expect it to run a similar offer this year.

    Week 2

    5th - 11th
    Prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    • 2015: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price Soap & Glory set

    deal analysis

    Christmas wouldn’t be Christmas without Boots offering a discount on one of its HUGELY popular Soap & Glory gift sets. It usually happens around the second week of December for a week, although don’t hang around - the sets often sell out before the promotion finishes.

    Prediction

    Thorntons 25% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    • 2015: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Thorntons 25% off online code

    deal analysis

    For the last three years, Thorntons has offered a 25% off online code in December, valid on everything on its website. It's scaled back its promotional activity considerably in 2016 however, so there are no guarantees it will run the same offer this year.

    Prediction

    Topman 20% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    • 2015: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Topman 20% off online code

    deal analysis

    For the last three years we’ve seen Topman offer an online discount code in the second week of December. In 2015, it gave 20% off almost everything for one day only, on Wed 9 Dec. You may need to go quick if you're after something on your Christmas list!

    Prediction

    Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    • 2015: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

    deal analysis

    The Body Shop is renowned for running promotions throughout the year, so it’s rare you’ll ever need to pay full price. Its pre-Christmas offering for the past two years has been 40% off, plus a free gift, and we expect it to offer a similar deal in the second week of December.

    Prediction

    Dorothy Perkins 25% off code

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    • 2015: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Dorothy Perkins 25% off code

    deal analysis

    Another one that’s been as inconsistent as the English weather with discount levels, Dorothy Perkins has previously run 20% or 25% off codes, so it’s difficult to predict an exact amount for 2016. The timing hasn’t varied as much though and we’re confident this one will appear around the second week of December.

    It's on

    Free Santa letter deadline - 9 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    • 2015: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Free Santa letter deadline - 9 Dec

    deal analysis

    Ignore the numerous companies advertising letters from Santa for a fee. You can get them without paying a penny, but you'll need to post your letter by Fri 9 Dec to get it to him in time.

    Week 3

    12th - 18th
    Prediction

    Kurt Geiger up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 14 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Kurt Geiger up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 14 Dec

    deal analysis

    In 2015, Kurt Geiger's sale started on Mon 14 Dec at up to 50% off. If you're planning to buy your Christmas presents in the sale, be aware you may need to pay for premium delivery to get them in time. The sale was boosted to up to 70% towards the end of December, so you may be able to bag a bigger discount if you can wait till then.

    Prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    • 2015: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': half-price No7 gift set

    deal analysis

    One of the most popular Boots ‘Star Gifts’ each year is the No7 gift set. For the last three years we’ve seen this appear in the third week of December and expect to be in seventh heaven around the same time again in 2016.

    Prediction

    M&S up to 50% off Xmas decorations

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 3
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    • 2015: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    M&S up to 50% off Xmas decorations

    deal analysis

    From the week before Christmas, many stores start to reduce their Christmas gifts, wrapping paper and other items. For the last five years, M&S has started an up-to-50% off sale, with other stores joining soon after. So if you can hold off right up until the week before the big day, you’re likely to make a considerable saving.

    Prediction

    John Lewis up to 80% off Xmas decorations

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    • 2015: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    John Lewis up to 80% off Xmas decorations

    deal analysis

    For the last three years, we’ve seen John Lewis start reducing its Christmas decorations in the third week of December. The discount can reach up to 80%, if you're prepared to wait that long. It’s a good time to stock up for next Christmas (or even this one, if you like to leave things to the very last minute).

    Prediction

    Travelodge £29 rooms (Jan-Mar stays)

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    • 2015: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Travelodge £29 rooms (Jan-Mar stays)

    deal analysis

    Travelodge often has a sale in the third week of December. For the last two years, it's offered £29 ‘winter rooms’ for stays between Jan-Mar, and we expect to see a similar sale in 2016.

    Week 4

    Till Xmas eve
    19th - 24th
    Prediction

    Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 21 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Asos up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 21 Dec

    deal analysis

    Last year, Asos started its sale on Mon 21 Dec at up to 50% off. It was boosted on Wed 30 Dec and became up to 70% off from Tue 5 Jan. It might be worth holding off until it's boosted, but stock's likely to be limited. And if you're planning to buy Christmas presents in the sale, be aware you may need to pay for premium delivery to get them in time.

    Prediction

    John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    John Lewis up to 50% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    deal analysis

    In 2015, the John Lewis sale started online at 5pm on Christmas Eve, and in stores on 27 Dec. We didn't see the discount increase during last year's sale, so if you want something, it might be worth buying as soon as the sale starts.

    Prediction

    M&S up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    M&S up to 70% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    deal analysis

    In 2015, M&S started its sale online at midday on Christmas Eve, and in stores on Boxing Day. It started at up to 50% off, but was boosted to up to 60% off from New Year's Eve, with further reductions from 8 Jan.

    Prediction

    Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Next at least 50% off 'Jan sale' - 24 Dec

    deal analysis

    For the last five years, Next has held an 'at least 50% off' sale. Last year this started online at 3pm on Christmas Eve, and in stores at 6am on Boxing Day. We're confident we'll see a similar offering this year, but it's a popular sale, so be prepared for long queues in stores.

    Week 5

    After Xmas eve
    25th - 1st
    Prediction

    Argos up to 60% off 'Jan sale' - 25 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Argos up to 60% off 'Jan sale' - 25 Dec

    deal analysis

    For the last few years, we've seen Argos start its sale online on Christmas Day and in stores on Boxing Day. In 2015, it offered up to 60% off some items, but most items were up to 50% off. We predict a similar sale will be launched on Christmas Day this year.

    Prediction

    Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale' - 26 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Amazon up to 50ish% off 'Jan sale' - 26 Dec

    deal analysis

    Instead of a blanket discount, Amazon offered 24-hour 'Deals of the Day' and 4-hour quick-fire 'Lightning Deals' across most of its departments in 2015. From what we saw, ‘up to 50% off’ was a fair summary of its 'January sale', and some of the decent deals we spotted included headphones, laptops and cameras. We expect a similar range of deals this year.

    Prediction

    Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale' - 26 Dec

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Mulberry up to 50% off 'Jan sale' - 26 Dec

    deal analysis

    Mulberry handbags are not MoneySaving, but if you’re going to buy one anyway, you might as well bag a decent discount. We’ve seen this up-to-50% sale start on Boxing Day for the last three years, and expect a similar offering this year.

    Prediction

    YHA hostels 24% off (Jan-Feb stays)

    when it's happened
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    • 2015: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    YHA hostels 24% off (Jan-Feb stays)

    deal analysis

    If you don’t insist on five-star luxury, you can get decent savings on youth hostels towards the end of December. We’ve seen a sale on YHA hostels for the last three years, and predict a similar offering in 2016. Last year’s sale started on Christmas Eve and offered 24% off stays until the end of February. It could be fun to stay at the Y-H-A…!

    January 2017

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 1

    2nd - 8th
    Prediction

    Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

    deal analysis

    The first week of January is usually a great time for bargain hunters to find cheap chocolates and Christmas goodies. Last year we spotted plenty of reduced festive treats, including £1 Terry's Chocolate Orange and £1.50 After Eights – so keep your eyes peeled.

    Prediction

    £50 off Merlin annual pass

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    £50 off Merlin annual pass

    deal analysis

    We usually see decent discounts on annual Merlin passes in the first week of January, which can get regulars to its theme parks a good deal compared with paying as you go. Last year it was £119 (reduced from £169). The pass gets you unlimited visits to 32 attractions including Alton Towers, Thorpe Park and Legoland.

    Prediction

    Eurostar £52 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Eurostar £52 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

    deal analysis

    We’ve seen a Eurostar sale in the first week of January for the last four years, and expect the same again in 2017. If you’re planning a trip to France or Belgium in the New Year, you could be on track for a decent saving.

    Prediction

    Free Weight Watchers via cashback

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Free Weight Watchers via cashback

    deal analysis

    If you need some help with your New Year’s resolutions, you may be able to get a free three-month trial of Weight Watchers this January (norm £64). New Quidco members have traditionally been able to bag a free trial via cashback in the first week of the year, so you can save pounds while you shed pounds.

    Prediction

    £9.50 Sun Holidays via tokens

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    £9.50 Sun Holidays via tokens

    deal analysis

    For the last six years we've seen The Sun offer bargain holidays from £9.50 per person, when you collect tokens from its newspaper. Last year the first date to start collecting tokens was Sat 9 Jan, so we expect the offer to begin at a similar time in 2017.

    Prediction

    Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    • 2015: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Carluccio's 2for1 voucher

    deal analysis

    Posh Italian restaurant chain Carluccio's has offered a 2for1 voucher in the first week of January for the last four years, and we expect it to serve up a repeat in 2017. It rarely offers discounts, so it could cook up a storm again with this one.