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We've analysed five years of deals, dating back to 2010, and studied this year's trends to forecast 2015's Christmas offers. Nothing's guaranteed, the aim is to allow you to plan when to pounce and bag your planned Christmas shopping for less (for more get the free weekly email).

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are we doing this?

To save you money, of course! Pre-Christmas, when retailers launch discount codes, they have one main aim. They want to avoid giving discounts to people who would buy in their stores anyway and instead target price-conscious consumers who are looking around on impulse for somewhere to shop.

That’s why they launch codes, sales or discounts only for a very short amount of time in the run-up to Christmas, as opposed to the lengthy January sales.

What we want to do is enable people who know where they want to shop to be ready to pounce at the perfect moment to take advantage of those offers, even if they were going to shop anyway. If you like, perverting the marketing plans of Britain’s big retailers.

To get the best out of our Christmas Deals Predictor it’s best to know what you want to buy and where it’s sold. Then use the calendar to plan your spending and hope you’ll be able to get what you want at a much reduced price.

How well did we do last year?

  • 94% of the retailers we predicted would do an offer did an offer of some description
  • 66% did the exact offer we predicted. Most of our incorrect predictions were agonisingly close to the actual offer eg, Kurt Geiger running a 20% off code, when we predicted 25%.
  • 81% of the offers happened on the day we predicted
  • The offers that happened were within an average of 4.75 days either side of the date we predicted.
  • Will this be a self-defeating prophecy?

    This is something we worried about in 2013, when we launched this for the first time. Stores primarily launch discounts to tempt in customers who wouldn’t normally buy. The fact we’re doing this is somewhat market disruptive as our aim is to show those who’ve planned to buy how to take advantage. Our fear was that the retailers would move or cancel their promotions as a result. Thankfully, it hasn't had that impact for the past two years, and we hope it won’t this year either.

    November 2016

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 3

    16th - 22nd
    It's gone

    £10 champagne deals in stores

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 3
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £10 champagne deals in stores

    deal analysis

    Ok, so we were a little optimistic in predicting £8 champagne this year. Tesco did have a £9 bottle on offer, but only until 17 Nov. You can still get £10 champagne at Asda and Lidl until 1 Jan. Corking!

    It's gone

    Nectar Double Up at Sainsbury's

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Nectar Double Up at Sainsbury's

    deal analysis

    We were correct in predicting that Nectar would run its double points event again on this week. From Wed 18 Nov - Tue 24 Nov, you could double the value of your points on selected categories at Sainsbury's, including toys and the TU clothing range.

    It's on

    ‘Free’ Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 4
    • 2012: Oct, Week 3
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    ‘Free’ Megabus tickets (Jan-Feb trips)

    deal analysis

    Megabus is currently running its ‘free’ ticket sale (there’s a 50p booking fee). Last year we saw this sale in the third week of November, so we had a feeling all roads led to it doing the same this year.

    It's gone

    Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Tesco 25% off 6 bottles of wine

    deal analysis

    We were a little off with this one - it was a week later than predicted, and you had to buy six bottles to get the deal, instead of four. But from Wed 25 Nov till Sun 29 Nov, wine-lovers were able to get a corking 25% off six or more bottles of wine or champagne at Tesco.

    Prediction

    Monsoon 25% off code & voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 1
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Nov, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Monsoon 25% off code & voucher

    deal analysis

    Monsoon usually offers a 25% off code in a magazine towards the end of November. It hasn't been consistent with its timing however, and last year the code appeared in Grazia magazine a week earlier than we predicted. We expected a similar offering in 2015 but we're still waiting.

    Week 4

    23rd - 29th
    It's gone

    Selfridges 20% off online code & in stores

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 3
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Selfridges 20% off online code & in stores

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, Selfridges released its annual 20% off voucher on the final Thursday on November. It even gave some American Express cardholders early access to the deal, which is something to look out for next year.

    It's gone

    Ikea buy £25 Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Ikea buy £25 Xmas tree, get £20 voucher

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, it's happening again this year - from Thu 26 Nov. Tree-mendous! Basically, when you buy one of its £25 real Christmas trees, you'll be given a £20 voucher to spend in the New Year. But Ikea discounts are rare, so this is usually very popular and the trees can sell out fast. So you’ll need to go quick if you want one.

    It's gone

    Habitat 25% off flash sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 4
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Habitat 25% off flash sale

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, Habitat's 25% off online code was live from midday on Wed 25 Nov until 11.59pm on Thu 26 Nov. You could also get the discount in stores (on Thu 26 Nov only), where's it was applied automatically at the till.

    It's gone

    Kurt Geiger 20% off code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 3
    • 2012: Nov, Week 3
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Kurt Geiger 20% off code

    deal analysis

    As we expected, Kurt Geiger offered 20% off over the Black Friday weekend, which was valid on women's, men's and kids' footwear, including Ugg styles.

    Black Friday Weekend 27th - 30th
    It's gone

    Amazon deals eg, £100 off Kindle Fire

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 4
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Amazon deals eg, £100 off Kindle Fire

    deal analysis

    Amazon ran 10 days of deals in the run up to Black Friday. We weren't overly impressed by its offering this year, but there were some decent savings to be had, including a Kindle Fire for £34.99 (although Tesco Direct offered it for £34, this was the next best price once it had sold out there).

    It's gone

    Game £299 PS4 & Xbox bundles

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Game £299 PS4 & Xbox bundles

    deal analysis

    This year Game offered a number of console bundles, which were among the cheapest on the market. We saw an Xbox One bundle for £229.99, with Rare Replay, Ori and the Blind Forest, Goat Simulator, and a two-month Now TV Movies pass.

    It's gone

    Gap 30% off in-store voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Nov, Week 4
    • 2012: Nov, Week 4
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Gap 30% off in-store voucher

    deal analysis

    Gap went above and beyond our expectations this year, offering 40% off online and 50% off in its stores over the Black Friday weekend.

    It's gone

    Asos 20% off almost everything

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Asos 20% off almost everything

    deal analysis

    We were right in predicting Asos would offer a code for 20% off almost everything over the Black Friday weekend. For the last three years we’ve also seen it offer a 15% off code in the first week of December, so this may well still appear as well.

    It's gone

    John Lewis discounts eg, £15 off Nutribullet

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    John Lewis discounts eg, £15 off Nutribullet

    deal analysis

    This year, John Lewis discounted a number of high-end products, and promised to match its high-street competitors. We spotted a £10 Jawbone activity tracker, as well as decent discounts on Kindles and TVs.

    It's gone

    Disney Store up to 40% off

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Disney Store up to 40% off

    deal analysis

    This year The Disney Store offered up to 50% off selected items for Black Friday. Large soft toys (including Olaf from Frozen) were reduced from £40 to £20 and you could get 30% off children's sleepwear.

    It's gone

    Tesco Direct online codes eg, £15 off £100

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Tesco Direct online codes eg, £15 off £100

    deal analysis

    Tesco Direct offered some strong discounts this year, including a £34 Kindle Fire and a £65 Nutribullet. You could also use Clubcard Boost on its Black Friday deals.

    It's gone

    Laura Ashley 30% off + extra 10% off

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Laura Ashley 30% off + extra 10% off

    deal analysis

    Like last year, Laura Ashley ran its 30% off deal in November, and we also saw a flash extra 10% off on top of this for the Black Friday weekend.

    It's gone

    French Connection 25% online code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Nov, Week 2
    • 2013: Nov, Week 3
    • 2014: Nov, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    French Connection 25% online code

    deal analysis

    Once again, French Connection offered a flash 25% online discount code on Cyber Monday. It also offered up to 50% off selected items over the Black Friday weekend.

    December 2016

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 1

    30th - 6th
    It's on

    £10 West End theatre tickets

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 1
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £10 West End theatre tickets

    deal analysis

    Get Into London Theatre opened for general booking on Tue 8 Dec, but Mastercard holders were able to get early access. The discounted tickets start from £10, and shows include The Gruffalo, Wicked and Matilda.

    It's on

    Cheap beauty advent calendars eg, £25 Ciaté

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Cheap beauty advent calendars eg, £25 Ciaté

    deal analysis

    Beauty advent calendars can be great value for money as they're often priced less than their individual contents. As we predicted, they started being discounted at the start of December, making them even better value if you're just after the products inside. This year Ciaté has offered its calendar exclusively to MSE with £110 of nail polish, for just £19.

    It's gone

    Argos £50/£100 spends get £5/£10 voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 1
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Argos £50/£100 spends get £5/£10 voucher

    deal analysis

    Argos ran this offer two weeks earlier than we expected, and while it's possible it will have a similar deal again in December, we think it's unlikely. Keep an eye out for bargains in its clearance sale towards the end of the year though.

    It's gone

    Sainsbury’s Tu 25% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Sainsbury’s Tu 25% off sale

    deal analysis

    For the fourth year running, Sainsbury's offered 25% off its Tu clothing range. The offer was available online and in stores until Mon 7 Dec. It included sale items and Christmas jumpers!

    It's gone

    £60 Burt’s Bees grab bags £24

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Nov, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £60 Burt’s Bees grab bags £24

    deal analysis

    Burt’s Bees released its offer a bit earlier this year, to coincide with the Black Friday weekend. We blagged exclusive early access for MoneySavers, so you could get a £60 grab bag for just £23.96.

    Prediction

    Matalan 20% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 1
    • 2012: Dec, Week 1
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Matalan 20% off online code

    deal analysis

    The discount and timing rarely vary when it comes to Matalan – you can usually rely on about 20% off around the first week of December. We’re less sure of the minimum spend, as this has varied. Last year, you could get £5 off when you spent £25, as well as codes for £10 off £50 and £15 off £75. So you’ll get about 20% off, depending on what you spend.

    Prediction

    Figleaves 25% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 1
    • 2014: Dec, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Figleaves 25% off online code

    deal analysis

    Online lingerie retailer Figleaves has offered a code for 25% off in the first week of December for the last two years and we expect it to run a similar offer this year.

    Week 2

    7th - 13th
    It's gone

    Boots 'Star Gift': £60 Soap & Glory set £29

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 2
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': £60 Soap & Glory set £29

    deal analysis

    As we predicted - the Soap & Glory star gift is back! From Fri 11 Dec you can get Soap & Glory's 'It's The Whole She-bang' body care set for £30. It's normally £60, but if the products were bought individually they would cost £68.

    Prediction

    £9 Baileys at Morrisons (1L)

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: N/A
    likelihood
    did it happen? No, this deal didn't happen!
    prediction

    £9 Baileys at Morrisons (1L)

    deal analysis

    In 2013 Morrisons reduced its 1L bottles of Baileys from £20 to just £9. We were optimistic in predicting this would happen again last year, but unfortunately it didn't repeat the offer. We hope to see it again in 2015 and we'll be like the cat that got the cream if it returns this year.

    It's gone

    Thorntons 25% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Thorntons 25% off online code

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, Thorntons is offering a 25% off online code, which is valid on everything on its website. This year it's offered it exclusively to MSE, and it's only available for 48 hours, so you'll need to go quick.

    It's gone

    Topman 20% off online code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Topman 20% off online code

    deal analysis

    As we predicted, Topman is offering 20% off almost everything for one day only on Wed 9 Dec. You'll need to go quick if you're after something on your Christmas list!

    Prediction

    Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 2
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Body Shop 40% off code + free gift

    deal analysis

    The Body Shop is renowned for running promotions throughout the year, so it’s rare you’ll ever need to pay full-price. We hoped it would repeat its 50% discount last year, but instead it offered 40% off, plus a free gift worth £11. Its inconsistency makes this year’s offer difficult to predict, but we expect it to offer a similar deal in the second week of December.

    Prediction

    Dorothy Perkins 25% off code

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 1
    • 2012: Dec, Week 2
    • 2013: Dec, Week 2
    • 2014: Dec, Week 2
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Dorothy Perkins 25% off code

    deal analysis

    Another one that’s been as inconsistent as the English weather with discount levels, Dorothy Perkins has previously run either 20% or 25% off codes, so it’s difficult to predict an exact amount for 2015. The timing hasn’t varied as much though and we’re confident this one will appear around the second week of December.

    Week 3

    14th - 20th
    It's gone

    M&S up to 50% off Xmas decorations

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 3
    • 2012: Dec, Week 3
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    M&S up to 50% off Xmas decorations

    deal analysis

    M&S currently has 50% off selected Christmas decorations, including lights, baubles and advent calendars. This might be a good chance to stock up for next year (or even this one if you've left it to the last minute).

    It's gone

    Boots 'Star Gift': £75 No7 gift set £37

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Boots 'Star Gift': £75 No7 gift set £37

    deal analysis

    One of the most popular Boots ‘Star Gifts’ each year, is the No7 gift set. You can get a No7 'Ultimate Collection' beauty and skincare bundle for £37 until 11.59pm on Christmas Eve, while stocks last.

    It's gone

    John Lewis up to 80% off Xmas decorations

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    John Lewis up to 80% off Xmas decorations

    deal analysis

    You can already get up to 50% off Christmas decorations at John Lewis, but we predict that it will keep increasing the discount in the days leading up to Christmas. For the last two years, we’ve seen John Lewis reduce its Christmas decorations by up to 80%, which could get you some cracking deals if you hold on till then.

    Prediction

    Cheapest Kindle Fire of the year, eg, £100 off

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Cheapest Kindle Fire of the year, eg, £100 off

    deal analysis

    We’ve seen cracking discounts on Amazon’s Kindle Fire in the third week of December for the last two years. In 2013 we saw the Kindle Fire HDX for £169 (norm £199) at Amazon, and in 2014 it was £99 at Argos. Both times, this was the cheapest price we’d seen to date, and we predict another offer will run in the third week of December this year.

    Prediction

    Brantano 30% off code & voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Dec, Week 3
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Watch this space!
    prediction

    Brantano 30% off code & voucher

    deal analysis

    Shoe retailer Brantano is another one that frequently launches money-off promotions. Last year we hoped it would repeat its 40% code and voucher as it was one of the strongest we’ve seen. However, it was less generous with its codes last year and only offered 30% off. We predict a similar offer for 2015, but it’s by no means a shoe-in.

    It's on

    Travelodge £29 rooms (Jan-Mar stays)

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 3
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Travelodge £29 rooms (Jan-Mar stays)

    deal analysis

    Travelodge often has a sale in the third week of December. Last year it offered £29 ‘winter rooms’ for stays between Jan-Mar, and we expect to see a similar sale in 2015.

    Boxing Day and January Sales
    It's gone

    Asos up to 70% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Asos up to 70% off sale

    deal analysis

    Asos started its sale on Mon 21 Dec at up to 50% off. It told us there's going to be further reductions from 8am on Wed 30 Dec and up to 70% off from 8am on Tue 5 Jan. If you're after the best bargains, it might be worth holding off until then, but be aware stock's likely to be very limited.

    It's gone

    John Lewis up to 50% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 4
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    John Lewis up to 50% off sale

    deal analysis

    John Lewis has confirmed its sale will start online at 5pm on Thu 24 Dec, and in stores on Sun 27 Dec. We didn't see the discount increase during last year's sale, so if you want something, it might be worth buying as soon as the sale starts.

    It's gone

    Amazon up to 50% off + lightning deals

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 4
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Amazon up to 50% off + lightning deals

    deal analysis

    Amazon has confirmed its sale will start at 4pm on Thu 24 Dec, however deals have been available from Mon 21 Dec. Like last year, it's offering lightning deals, as well as 'deals of the day'. As you'd expect, these are only on offer for a limited time, so you'll need to be quick if you're after something in particular.

    It's on

    Kurt Geiger up to 70% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: N/A
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Kurt Geiger up to 70% off sale

    deal analysis

    Kurt Geiger's sale started on Mon 14 Dec and it's currently offering up to 50% off. Last year, this was boosted to up to 70% towards the end of December, so you may be able to bag a bigger discount if you can wait till then.

    It's gone

    YHA hostels 25% off sale (Jan-Feb stays)

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 3
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    YHA hostels 25% off sale (Jan-Feb stays)

    deal analysis

    If you don’t insist on five-star luxury, you can get decent savings on youth hostels with a code for YHA hostels. It's offering 24% off this year, for stays until the end of February. It could be fun to stay at the Y-H-A…!

    It's on

    M&S up to 60% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 4
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    M&S up to 60% off sale

    deal analysis

    M&S has confirmed its sale will start online at midday on Thu 24 Dec, and in stores on Sat 26 Dec. It's starting at up to 50% off, but M&S told us it's going to be up to 60% off from Thu 31 Dec, with further reductions from Fri 8 Jan.

    It's on

    Next at least 50% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Dec, Week 4
    • 2012: Dec, Week 4
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Next at least 50% off sale

    deal analysis

    For the last four years, Next has held an 'at least 50% off' sale. Last year this started online at 3pm on Christmas Eve, and in stores at 6am/7am on Boxing Day. We're confident we'll see a similar offering this year, but it's a popular sale, so be prepared for long queues in stores.

    It's gone

    Mulberry up to 50% off sale

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: N/A
    • 2013: Dec, Week 4
    • 2014: Dec, Week 4
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Mulberry up to 50% off sale

    deal analysis

    Mulberry handbags are not MoneySaving, but if you’re going to buy one anyway, you might as well bag a decent discount. We’ve seen this up to 50% sale start on Boxing Day for the last two years, and expect a similar offering this year.

    January 2017

    The deals we predict will happen this month and why

    Week 1

    4th - 10th
    It's gone

    Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Jan, Week 1
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Cheap Xmas food & chocolates

    deal analysis

    The first week of January was a great time for bargain hunters to find cheap chocolates and Christmas goodies. This year we spotted plenty of reduced festive treats, including £1 Terry's Chocolate Orange and £1.50 After Eights.

    It's on

    £50 off Merlin annual pass

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Jan, Week 1
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £50 off Merlin annual pass

    deal analysis

    We usually see decent discounts on annual Merlin passes in the first week of January, which can get regulars to its theme parks a good deal compared with paying as you go. Last year it was £105 (reduced from £159). Merlin's had a difficult year however, due to the accident at Alton Towers in June, so it will be interesting to see how it reacts.

    It's on

    Eurostar £64 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

    when it's happened
    • 2011: N/A
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Eurostar £64 returns (Jan-Mar trips)

    deal analysis

    Eurostar surprised us this year by offering £58 returns, instead of the £64 returns we predicted based on its previous sales. If you’re planning a trip to France or Belgium in the New Year, you could be on track for a decent saving.

    It's on

    Free Weight Watchers via cashback

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Jan, Week 1
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Free Weight Watchers via cashback

    deal analysis

    If you need some help with your New Year’s resolutions, you may be able to get a free three-month trial of Weight Watchers this January (norm £63). New Quidco members have traditionally been able to bag a free trial via cashback in the first week of the year, so you can save pounds while you shed pounds.

    It's on

    £9.50 Sun Holidays

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Jan, Week 1
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    £9.50 Sun Holidays

    deal analysis

    For the last five years we've seen The Sun offer bargain holidays from £9.50 per person, when you collect tokens from its newspaper. Last year the first date to start collecting tokens was Sun 11 Jan, so we expect the offer to begin at a similar time in 2016.

    It's on

    Carluccios 2for1 voucher

    when it's happened
    • 2011: Jan, Week 1
    • 2012: Jan, Week 1
    • 2013: Jan, Week 1
    • 2014: Jan, Week 1
    likelihood
    did it happen? Yes, this deal happened!
    prediction

    Carluccios 2for1 voucher

    deal analysis

    Posh Italian restaurant chain Carluccios has offered a 2for1 voucher in the first week of January for the last three years, and we expect it to serve up a repeat in 2016. It rarely offers discounts, so it could cook up a storm again with this one.